Article author:
Associated Press
Debora Alvares And Mauricio Savarese
Brazil, Brasília (AP) — If Brazil's President Jail Bolsonaro hopes to secure a second term, he Needs more women Support — and fast. Still, the man famous for macho brabad has not shown a collaborative strategy to do so.
Due to the elections lasting only three months, in some polls only one in five women was a former Army captain on a motorcycle with a tough speech and a gun. It is shown to vote. If that is the case on October 2, Bolsonaro could be completely defeated by his enemy, former President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva, without the need for escape. Almost half of Brazilian women say they will vote for the president's opponents.
More than half of the women who voted say they will never vote for the far-right leader, regardless of the social class, which is a traditional indicator of voting preference. ..
Polling expert Antonio Lavaleda said he wouldn't have a chance to win unless Bolsonaro beats more women. "There is a big rejection between them. He is unlikely to be their choice, even among those who haven't made a choice yet," he said in a telephone interview.
It's far from 2018. A few days before the victory of former Fringe four years ago, polls showed that women were almost evenly divided between Bolsonaro and his left-wing enemy, the former mayor of São Paulo. Despite the quarrel that Bolsonaro made his daughter a father at the moment of his weakness and his remarks to his fellow lawmakers, she was ugly and unraped. Many women, especially those of higher social class, supported his campaign.
Since then, Bolsonaro has lost the support of women. Esther Solano, a sociologist at the Federal University of São Paulo, said, in part, questioning how to deal with pandemics and the effectiveness of the vaccine, and harshly opposed the use of the vaccine among children. It is due to. The president has not been vaccinated against COVID-19 and has seen the second highest COVID-19 deaths in the world in a country with a proud tradition of successful vaccination campaigns.
"Because it is women who provide care, women are always influenced by the way of thinking about care. The fact that Borsonaro did not take care of people during the pandemic is that of the female population. It had a much worse effect between them, "said Solano, who conducted a poll of potential voters in Borsonaro.
More generally, she said that four years of Bolsonaro's "aggressive tone" weakened his support.
"He shows a kind of masculinity that is very toxic, very strong and very violent. Political like a man fascinated by this kind of masculinity. Many of the offensive men who speak the wrong way, are intolerant, and have a certain level of strength feel that they have been attacked, "she added.
Bolsonaro, like other incumbents around the world, is responsible for the fastest inflation in almost 20 years.
Geisa Rodrigues dos Santos lives in the low-income community of Rio de Janeiro and she relies heavily on her social program to feed her three children. Brazil's generous pandemic welfare program has been significantly reduced, and house cleaners are longing for the Dasylva administration, which created the middle class between 2003 and 2010. She didn't vote in 2018, but she is now planning to vote for Da Silva. Universally in Brazil as Lula.
"Distributions were working in the pandemic at the time. 35-year-old Dos Santos said," They saved many mothers. " In Lula's day we ate.
Within Bolsonaro's camp, his disadvantages among women have been acknowledged, and polls show that he is about one-third of women who remain undecided. I hope I can win many. What doesn't exist is an agreement on how to coordinate the course.
Analysts speculate that Bolsonaro's campaign could place his wife Michelle, 40, in public and on television spots. Almost dressed as an evangelical Christian, she speaks fluent sign language, smoothes out the rough edges of Bolsonaro, and embodies a caregiver who can appeal to potential female voters.
According to two Bolsonaro ministers and two senators who are close advisers to the president, the first woman was set to record a television spot earlier this month. It was, but it didn't happen. They told The Associated Press that the spot was abandoned because the sons of the president's lawmakers were divided about the tacks he should take: doubling his 2018 strategy of inflammatory language or Relieve his unfriendlyness as a means of outreach. Sources were not allowed to speak publicly about the campaign strategy, so they spoke on condition of anonymity.
The ally also urged Bolsonaro to choose a female running mate like his former agriculture minister, Tereza Cristina, according to the same four officials. Instead, he said he would choose his fellow military personnel, General Walter Braga Net, an adviser to the president. He was still able to change his mind before the August deadline, but that seems less likely, his allies told AP.
Christina was one of only three female ministers during her first three years in office in Bolsonaro, compared to more than 20 men. After she and other ministers resigned this year to run for other offices, Bolsonaro's replacement left only one woman in the cabinet.
Meanwhile, Bolsonaro argues that voters do not respond to the survey, reiterating that he does not believe in polls.
His direct attempt to reach out to female voters has been discontinued. He said on International Women's Day in March that women were "basically integrated into society," and on April 12, his administration did 63 things without identifying what women were. Said that. The presidential residence did not reply to repeated AP emails asking for details of these actions.
In the meantime, some women who once could become voters in Bolsonaro are now actively working to get him out of their seats.
Former Brazilian Christian Dior executive Rosangela Laila has previously helped a prosecutor in prison for her corruption investigation before she gained support for Da Silva. When I started, I shocked her friend. Last year, the Brazilian Supreme Court ruled that the judge was prejudiced and invalidated Dasylva's conviction.
"The main reason for my campaign is President Jair Bolsonaro. He shouldn't continue," Laila told AP in the lobby of her apartment in the luxurious district of São Paulo. She leads Politica Viva, an activist group with nearly 3,000 members, most of whom are women. She said she didn't vote for Bolsonaro in 2018, but he believed he could grow up in the office.
"I wanted him to think better, have access to other information, and be more human, but that didn't happen," Laila said. I did. "People can now see that he is incompetent and inhumane. Managing his pandemic, corrupting his administration, the vigilants he supports. We take his institutional risk. It cannot be maintained for another four years and become a right-wing dictatorship. "
Lavaleda has hurt Bolsonaro among women less than his crusades to loosen gun restrictions. Said. When he campaigned in 2018, widespread access to firearms for civilians was part of his pitch to help curb the murders that reached the height of 10 years in the previous year. did.
Claudian Silva, a cashier at a supermarket in São Paulo, had just lost his nephew in gun violence and believed that the new president should suffer crime and corruption.
But this time Bolsonaro feels the delivery has failed and he will vote for Da Silva.
"I voted for Bolsonaro because I was angry with everyone, but now I'm so angry with him that I'll vote for the one he hates most," Silva said. Told. I think Lula will work better. The times are different now. But I want to get rid of Bolsonaro.
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Savarese reported by São Paulo.