While states have released data on COVID-19 infrequently in the three years since the pandemic, a volunteer expert group has published its own case analysis,hospitalization and death in Canada due to the Omicron variant.
Based on this analysis, recent figures are expected to be higher for Omicron than those reported after December 2, 2021, if other regions of the country, such as Quebec, report It shows that hospital admissions could be 70% higher on average.
“If each province reported in a manner similar to Quebec, Quebec would be Canada's gold standard for reporting severe COVID results in a complete and timely manner, and these numbers would be It will look very different from the numbers reported," Tara Moriarty, an infectious disease expert at the University of Toronto and co-founder ofCOVID-19 Resources Canada, told CTVNews.ca on Tuesday. told to
This difference is also notable for her Omicron mortality, which, according to the data, is expected to be 51% higher than reported.
"It became important to make this information available to the public," said Moriarty.
Established in March 2020, the grassroots initiative is made up of scientists, medical professionals, and web developers who draw on information from a variety of sources, including provincial databases and information from Statistics Canada. We're collating data and getting funding from Public Health. Canada's.
Expected OMICRON cases across Canada are underreported
After December 2, 2021, the total number of hospitalizations expected from Omicron in Canada will be approximately 162,000. , a significant increase of 70% from the 95,000 reported hospitalization cases, according to information provided in the dashboard.
Moriarty said that even with late reporting, the differences between hospital admissions, ICU admissions, and deaths due to Omicron alone are very large.
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The estimated death toll from Omicron is 51% higher than reported. An earlier report by the Royal Society of Canada in 2021(which involved Moriarty) found that, on average, provinces other than Quebec reported 1.4 times fewer deaths from her COVID. High possibility, 1.3 times for the whole country.
Outside of Quebec, Moriarty said the gap between reported and expected deaths has widened during Omicron.
His ICU admission with the subspecies is underreported, as is the case with Omicron's hospitalizations and deaths. ICU admissions are most likely 29% higher than reported.According to data analysis from COVID-19 Resources Canada, 22,200 ICU admissions are expected, compared to 14,750 reported
Omicron-infected Canadians 53% - Estimated
Moriarty estimates that 53% of all Canadians will be infected with Omicron after December 2021, equivalent to 20.3 million.
A breakdown by age indicates that an estimated 59% of those infected are under her 40s.
Data show that per capita infection rates remain high compared to most other parts of Atlantic Canada. After mid-February. Although the number of cases across Canada is declining, the estimated total number of Omicron infections per capita is highest in Nova Scotia.
Nova Scotia also has the highest danger index, while the rest of the country is rated high or high. Designed by COVID-19 Resources Canada, the Hazard Index is measured by his four equally weighted scores for vaccine protection, current infection and spread, impact on health systems, and mortality. will be
In her early January of this year, Nova Scotia was at high risk, with most states in the severe category of the index. But now that image has been reversed.
Positive test rates are estimated to be high in Nova Scotia for infection and wastewater and low in other states. Moriarty said that's partly because Nova Scotia's infection rate was low in the months of 2022 and even last December. We certainly maintained public health measures such as masks and had a very proactive public health system," Moriarty said. "One of the big things he said was, until recently, Nova Scotia had more tests per capita than any other state."
No public health measures in place now. That's why the state's danger index is the highest.
When Nova Scotia began testing like the rest of the country, hospitalizations and deaths began to soar. Another reason, Moriarty said, was that there were far more people who had never been infected before, and cases began to rise.
Rising hospital costs for Omicron
67} The dashboard also analyzes the rise in costs associated with Omicron's hospitalizations and compares them to non-COVID hospitalization costs.Based on the analysis,COVID-19 Resources Canada reduced the CIHI-estimated COVID-19 hospitalization costs by 27%, with a shorter mean duration. of admission from Omicron explained.
The Canadian Institute of Health Information (CIHI) estimates that the average cost of hospitalization for COVID-19 is $23,000, about three times that of a heart attack ($7,000), or Pneumonia ($8,000) costs four times as much as a hospital stay for the flu (about $5,000) and about the same as a kidney transplant ($27,000).
A COVID-19 patient was hospitalized for about twice as long as the average pneumonia patient, about 15 days in hospital compared to his 7 days with pneumonia, and admitted to the ICU on a ventilator. A high percentage of patients were prepared. , according to CIHI data.