How two weather balloons led Mexico to ban solar geoengineering

MEXICO CITY — On an April day, the

founder of a U.S. startup called Make Sunsets stood outside a

camper van in Mexico’s Baja California and released two weather

balloons containing sulfur dioxide into the air, letting them

float towards the stratosphere.

Entrepreneur Luke Iseman said the sulfur dioxide in the

balloons would deflect sunlight and cool the atmosphere, a

controversial climate strategy known as solar geoengineering.

Mexico said the launch violated its national sovereignty.

Iseman, 39, said he does not know what happened to the

balloons. But the unauthorized release, which became public in

January, has already had an impact: setting off a series of

responses that could set the rules for future study of

geoengineering, especially by private companies, in Mexico and

around the world.

The Mexican government told Reuters it is now actively

drafting “new regulations and standards” to prohibit solar

geoengineering inside the country. Mexico also plans to rally

other countries to ban the climate strategy, a senior government

official told Reuters.

While the Mexican government announced its intention to ban

solar geoengineering in January, its current actions and plans

to discuss geoengineering bans with other countries have not

been previously reported.

“Progress is being made… to prepare the new regulations

and norms on geoengineering, that is, to advance an official

Mexican standard that prohibits said activity in the national

territory,” Mexico’s environment ministry said in a written

statement to Reuters.

The backlash from Mexico arrives as growing numbers of

scientists and policy makers are urging further study of solar

geoengineering, recognizing that emissions cuts alone will not

limit dangerous climate change and that additional innovations

may be needed.

GLOBAL GEOENGINEERING BAN

Climate policy experts said Mexico is in a position to help

set the rules for future geoengineering research.

“A country like Mexico could start pulling together other

countries and say: ‘Let’s work on this together and see how we

can ban it together or make it happen properly together,'” said

Janos Pasztor, executive director of the Carnegie Climate

Governance Initiative (C2G), which advises on governance of

solar geoengineering and other climate-altering technologies.

The Mexican environment ministry statement said it would

explore using the Convention on Biological Diversity’s call for

a moratorium on “climate-related geoengineering activities” to

enforce its ban.

Agustin Avila, a senior environment ministry official, told

Reuters Mexico will also try to find common ground with other

countries on geoengineering at the COP global climate summit in

the United Arab Emirates this year.

The Mexican government said Make Sunsets’ balloon launch

highlighted the ethical problems of allowing private companies

to conduct geoengineering events.

“Why is this company, located in the United States, coming

to do experiments in Mexico and not in the United States?” said

Avila.

Iseman told Reuters in an email he chose Mexico because

“most researchers report that particles launched into the

stratosphere near the tropics will create more cooling by

staying up longer.” Also, he had a truck and camper in Baja and

thinks the region is beautiful, he wrote.

David Keith, a professor of applied physics and public

policy at Harvard University who has dedicated much of his

research to solar geoengineering, called Iseman’s launch a

“stunt.”

Iseman has a background in business, not science, but said

he consulted with climate scientists. Other innovative startups

were ridiculed in their early days, he said. “If the

‘responsible experts’ were solving the problem, we wouldn’t

have to,” he said in an email.

Until Mexico’s dispute with Make Sunsets, solar

geoengineering had been gaining attention from policy makers and

scientists as a possible solution to climate change, and limited

research funding.

The strategy, also known as Solar Radiation Management,

seeks to mimic the natural cooling effects of volcanic eruptions

when ash clouds reflect back enough sunlight to reduce the

warming of the earth by using planes or balloons to disperse

tiny particles in the stratosphere.

Last month, 60 scientists including former NASA climate

scientist James Hansen signed a letter in support of further

research.

The Degrees Initiative, a UK-based non-government group,

awarded $900,000 for research into the impacts of solar

geoengineering on weather patterns, wildlife and glaciers to

scientists from Chile, India, Nigeria and other countries.

The U.N. Environment Program in late February also

recommended further study of geoengineering.

Yet some scientists remain opposed to further research,

arguing that large-scale interventions in the atmosphere risk

triggering extreme and unpredictable weather changes, including

major droughts that would severely impact agriculture and food

supply.

In 2021, the Swedish government grounded a study led by

Harvard’s Keith which planned to spray calcium carbonate dust

into the atmosphere to deflect sunlight after indigenous Saami

people accused researchers of lacking respect for “Mother

Earth.”

Frances Beinecke, a veteran environmental activist and board

member of the Climate Overshoot Commission, a think tank focused

on developing strategies to reduce the risk of overshooting 1.5

C in warming, said the Make Sunsets episode underscores the

urgency of developing a regulatory framework that would allow

further study of geoengineering and set safe and equitable rules

for its use.

“The Mexico example illustrated to us that it’s not only

governance to consider whether or not to utilize it, but you

need governance in the research phase,” she said. “People can’t

just go all over the world and launch field experiments without

some kind of oversight.”

Iseman said he would welcome clearer regulation but that the

international community is moving “too slowly.”

Mexico has not set a date for implementing its ban, a

spokeswoman for the environmental ministry said.

And it’s unclear what effect a ban might have. Keith argues

a ban is unenforceable. “You can’t write legislation that says

you can’t put sulfur in the stratosphere since every commercial

flight does that,” he told Reuters.

Others note that a ban on geoengineering on Mexico’s

territory would offer no protection from the planet-scale impact

of future experiments by any of its neighbors.

“It could happen literally next door. In terms of impacts on

the world, it’s the same,” Pasztor said

Meanwhile, Make Sunsets said in a Feb. 21 blog post it had

performed three additional launches near Reno, Nevada.

The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA)

said Make Sunsets did not report the launches. “The Weather

Modification Act requires that any activity performed with the

intention of producing artificial changes in the composition,

behavior, or dynamics of the atmosphere be reported to the NOAA

Weather Program Office before the commencement of such project

or activity,” NOAA told Reuters.

Iseman said he did seek clearance from the Federal Aviation

Authority, but did not disclose the balloons contained sulfur

dioxide. “As far as I can tell, there isn’t any rule that would

require us to do so – or even anyone who it would be relevant to

notify,” he said.

(Reporting by Cassandra Garrison; Editing by Stephen

Eisenhammer and Suzanne Goldenberg)


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