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Donald Trump Campaign Liz Cheney and Lisa Markowski will face challengers endorsed by the former president on Tuesday, the last major U.S. midterm primary season to oust Republicans in Congress who backed his impeachment. tests are performed.
US Congressman Cheney, who played a key role in the congressional inquiry into the Jan. 6, 2021 Trump supporters' attack on the Capitol, loses the Wyoming primary to Trump supporter Harriet Hageman. is expected. According to polls.
The fate of Senator Murkowski of Alaska is less clear. That's because the state's nonpartisan primary format allows the top four vote-getters to advance to his Nov. 8 general election. A possible Markowski- and Trump-backed Kelly Tzibaka rematch.
Both states are definitely Republican and whether President Joe Biden's Democrats lose a very thin majority in Congress. Neither party is likely to play a major role in determining .
Biden's low approval ratings, weighed down by a volatile economy, remain a concern for Democrats heading into November. A two-day Reuters/Ipsos poll completed on Tuesday showed that just 38% of respondents approve of Biden's job performance, down from 40% the week before. The approval rate is below his 50%.
A majority in either House of Congress would allow Republicans to suspend Biden's legislative agenda. They have already threatened to launch an investigation that could damage his regime if won.
Alaskan voters are also deciding whether to choose Republican agitator and former governor Sarah Palin, Trump's endorsement for the state's only House seat.
Cheney's long run
Cheney, daughter of former Vice President of the Republican Party Dick Cheney, used her position in the election campaign and her January 6 committee and has continued to draw attention to Trump's actions regarding the election campaign. Capitol riots, and his continued false allegations about fraud in his 2020 election, are meant to convince his fellow Republicans that the former president is a threat to democracy. .
Terry Sullivan, the political strategist who managed Republican Sen.
"Liz Cheney isn't fighting for reelection, she's fighting for the direction of the Republican Party." He said, noting that some observers are debating whether Cheney should start the 2024 presidential election.
Two recent polls show the challenges facing Cheney. Despite a congressional voting record that supports Trump's policies, Cheney alienated many Republicans in Wyoming with his constant criticism of Trump as an existential threat to democracy.
Casper Star of Wyoming In a survey of likely voters for his Tribune's primary election, which ran from his July 7th to his 11th, Cheney defeated Hedgeman by 52% to 30%. A University of Wyoming poll released last week put Hageman's lead at her 29 points.
Cheney's supporters believe she still has a chance if enough Democrats and independents intersect to vote for her.
Jim King, a professor of political science at the University of Wyoming, said Cheney's opponents were against the interests of Wyoming, where Trump won 70% of the vote, and called for impeachment and the said it portrayed her position on the commission.
"All of this means the same thing: 'She doesn't represent us,'" said King, noting that consistent distance in the polls meant Cheney would lose. added that it shows "At this point, I see no reason to question these results."
Cheney voted to impeach Trump in the Jan. 6 Capitol Riot. She was one of her ten House Republicans. Three of her others have already lost their primaries, four have decided not to run again, and two have won the contest.
As Trump considers whether he will run for president again in 2024, Trump's election campaign this season is a sign of his continued influence within the party. Most of the candidates he endorsed for the season won, his supporters say.
How the FBI's recovery of classified documents from Trump's Mar-a-Lago home as part of an investigation into possible Espionage Act violations will affect the midterm elections? Still unknown.
Crossover voting
Cheney's supporters show optimism from state voter data, showing Republican registration numbers from year-to-date to her Aug. 1 indicates an increase of 11,495 for her. About 6,000 fewer registered Democrats.
Their hope is that these numbers represent Democrats registering as Republicans as a way to boost Cheney, but the increase in Republicans Only about 8% of his 2018 major voter turnout. Be prepared for the voting gap.
As in Wyoming, Trump's support in Republican-leaning Alaska is unlikely to pave the way for Democrats. But they promoted Chibaka, who is trying to get Republican Markowski's Senate seat.
Markowski is expected to be among the top four voters to advance to the general election under new legislation that abolishes partisan primaries and introduces ranked alternative voting.
Markowski, a moderate who voted for Trump's impeachment, is seen as the frontrunner. (Reporting by Nathan Lane, Wilton, CT; Editing by Scott Malone, Alistair Bell, Howard Goller)