New figures to be released Monday by the ministry of the environment.
Caribou populations in Quebec, heavily disturbed by human activity, continue to decline, according to new figures to be published Monday by the ministry of the environment.
The Canadian Press looked at caribou population inventories carried out in 2021 and 2022 in the Gaspésie, Nord-du-Québec and Côte-Nord regions, and in all three regions, populations continue to decline, mainly because of the destruction of their habitat. Only the Caniapiscau caribou population is growing.
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The “Outardes” population refer to several herds of woodland caribou that live in the Côte-Nord and Saguenay—Lac-Saint-Jean regions, and the department estimates that their total number would be between 803 and 1180, “spread within 67 groups of one to 85 individuals.
This number is “in decline” and “below the thresholds estimated to hope for self-sufficiency of the population.”
How much are these populations declining? It is difficult to determine this, according to the director general of the co-ordination of wildlife management at the ministry of the environment.
“This is the first inventory where we did exactly this magnitude and this area, so before that, we did not have such precise sampling, so it is difficult to have robust comparisons”, explained Carl Patenaude-Levasseur at The Canadian Press.
The ministry, however, hypothesizes an “average decrease of 11 per cent of the population per year.”
According to inventory documents, the main disturbances to the habitat of this caribou population are logging roads, logging and burning (clearing by fire).
In these areas, the logging industry has removed much of the old forest and replaced it with younger trees, depriving the caribou of habitat and food. Also, forest roads promote the movement of caribou’s natural predators such as bears and wolves.
According to the ministry of the environment, “the low abundance south of the 51st parallel poses a risk of local extinction for groups of caribou found in the south of the species’ range on the North Shore.”
The only good news is that, farther north in the territory, 329 caribou from the Caniapiscau population have been listed, but those in charge of the inventories estimate that its real size could be 484 individuals.
The area surveyed at the end of winter 2022 represented only 8.2 per cent of the range of this population, but the data are sufficient for the ministry to estimate that this population, which partly lives in protected areas, is “growing.”
In the Nord-du-Québec region, the data from the aerial surveys carried out by the teams of the ministry make it possible to evaluate the population of woodland caribou in the Nottaway herd at 282 individuals, compared with 308 in 2016.
The population decline could therefore be eight per cent in six years. But scientific models that use satellite telemetry provide much more pessimistic estimates.
The Nottoway caribou study area extends into the traditional territory of the James Bay Cree: from around Matagami to the south, to near the Rupert River to the north, and the Harricana River to the west to Evans, Soscumica and Matagami lakes in the east.
A total of 39 groups of caribou were located during the inventory and the size of the groups varied from one to 21 individuals.
The ministry estimates that the survival rate is 81 per cent for females and 71 per cent for males, which “remains relatively low for both segments of the adult population and special attention will therefore have to be paid to this over the next few years in order to identify a possible problem”.
Gaspésie’s mountain caribou live in the Chic-Chocs and McGerrigle mountains. This population was designated as a threatened species in 2009 in Quebec.
“It’s an extremely precarious isolated population,” Patenaude-Levasseur said.
“We saw 33 in 2021, compared to 42 the year before” with “the same methods, which indicates a certain rate of decline.”
The fall 2021 inventory was carried out in three sectors: Monts Albert, McGerrigle and Logan.
“The high mortality rate of calves from predation, the relatively high adult mortality rate, the small population size, the lack of interchange within the population due to territorial fragmentation, and the lack of non-fragmented preferential habitats, jeopardize the maintenance of this population,” the ministry inventory shows.
The researchers also point out that a recent study shows that the surface area of black bear and coyote habitats, caribou predators, “has increased within a radius of 30 km around the legal habitat of Gaspésie caribou over the past 30 years.” It is also indicated that “the transformation of the forest landscape could have contributed to the exacerbation of the predation pressure on the caribou, particularly on the fawns.”
The Quebec woodland caribou recovery team estimated that between 5,635 and 9,981 caribou remained on the territory in the period from 2005 to 2016.
But these estimates no longer correspond to reality and the inventories that are underway in several regions of Quebec will provide a clearer picture of the extent of the decline of this emblematic animal.
The ministry of the environment plans “the delivery of the strategy for forest-dwelling and mountain caribou” in the summer of 2023.