India has reestablished its diplomatic presence in Afghanistan by sending a technical team to reopen the Kabul embassy for seemingly humanitarian purposes, but analysts Sees it as an effort to secure New Delhi's strategic interests in conflict-the country on which the return of Tullivan has placed Pakistan in a dominant position.
India closed its embassy, which was considered a major strategic recession in New Delhi, after the Taliban's acquisition last August.
The Foreign Ministry said the team was to coordinate the provision of humanitarian aid, but analysts cite other reasons for the move.
"Reopening the Embassy of India is to put our eyes and ears on the ground and explore the possibility of cooperation with the Taliban, which is the territory of Afghanistan. It includes a security guarantee that it will not be used specifically against Pakistan, "said Gautam Mucopadaya, a former Indian ambassador to Afghanistan.
"This is the first gambit, so to speak, in the sense that we're back in the game," he said.
India has been concerned that Afghanistan will be a refuge for radicals from Pakistan, which has been at the forefront of a 30-year violent separatist rebellion in Kashmir, India. ..
India and the Taliban have been in a fierce conflict for a long time, but they have changed their positions slightly. Analysts say New Delhi has accepted a group of hardline Islamists to stay there for a foreseeable future, while new Afghan leaders have also reached out to India.
"The Taliban has been involved with other countries in the world and has signaled that India wants to exist because it is an important country in the region. If there is a possibility to maintain its presence in Afghanistan, why not? "Sushant Salen, Senior Fellow of the Observer Research Foundation in New Delhi, said.
"But this is by no means in favor of the Taliban administration. India has returned very little," he added.
India has consistently called for a comprehensive government in Afghanistan, expressing concern over the erosion of women's and girls' rights under the Taliban's control.
When India began sending food and medicine to the country, the first signal of reconciliation between the two came earlier this year. So far, we have sent 20,000 tons of wheat. He also helped the aftermath of the deadly earthquake that struck Afghanistan last month and the technical team dispatched to Kabul.
After India reopened its embassy, Afghanistan called on other countries to do the same.
"The arrival of Indian diplomats in Afghanistan and the reopening of the [Indian] embassy show that security has been established in the country and that all political and diplomatic rights have been respected. "Taliburn's spokesperson said.
The next step may be to promote student and medical visas for Afghans who want to come to India. Hundreds of students, including many who received scholarships from the Government of India, were enrolled in Indian universities before the takeover of Tullivan, but as the university switched to online learning, many were COVID. I was back in Afghanistan during the -19 outbreak. India was also a popular destination for Afghans seeking treatment.
Foreign Minister Taliban, after meeting with Amir Muttaki Khan and this week's Afghan student, Taliban said Kabul is approaching New Delhi, COVID restrictions lifted Later, we will grant a visa to students who could not return to India.
"The assumption that India has returned to Afghanistan is for the well-being of the people. If so, giving student and medical visas may not happen in the near future, but it is at the table. It's likely, "Salen said.
"India will first wait and monitor if the Taliban are ready to do business with us," he said.
As Afghanistan faces major challenges, the Taliban's support for India is also believed to be supporting the group.
"New Delhi will promise nothing but humanitarian aid, but the Taliban are well suited to market heavily needed financial aid from major sources of aid. "Deputy Director Michael Kugelmann said. Overview of the Asian program at the Wilson Center based in Washington. "And it can help the Taliban gain some support from the masses resenting the Taliban's deep historical ties with Pakistan," he said.
However, India's involvement with the Taliban can be a slow and cautious process as it assesses the group's attitude towards New Delhi.
"Depending on the Taliban's direction, it is unlikely that India will upgrade the embassy immediately or at all. You are treading water, but you are stepping in," Mucopadaya said. Told.
According to analysts, the return of New Delhi to Afghanistan is a welcome development from the perspective of India's western allies such as the United States.
"It's important for Washington that it's not just rivals like Pakistan, China, Russia and Iran that are involved with the Taliban," Kugelman said. "The United States is also likely to see India as an important player in efforts to improve the Taliban's rights record."
The reopening of the embassy is a step towards New Delhi. There is also the possibility. New Delhi believed that it had regained some of the leverage that New Delhi had lost for 20 years from the United States in 2001 and was left behind in the region in August. The aggression has built soft power in numerous development projects such as roads, schools and hospitals.
"In Afghanistan, there are no endgames. Every endgame is the beginning of a new great game," Saleen said.