Wed, 10 Aug 22 16:09:10 +0000

Trump's shadow looms over last-ditch effort to revive Iran's nuclear deal

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London/Abu Dhabi (CNN) After yet another talks on reviving Iran nuclear dealLast week, European Union officials, who are currently in talks with Tehran's leaders about how to proceed, said that the country's negotiators had agreed to a "final""whether or not to take" Do you want to keep it?" text.

The draft has met with cautious optimism in Iran. Mohammad Marandi, an adviser to Iranian negotiators in Vienna, told CNN that the document to revive the deal that former President Donald Trump withdrew in 2018has been out for several years. He said he had "made a lot of progress" in the past few months. But he also said the impasse that emerged earlier this summer would require follow-up negotiations.

In June, the UN's International Atomic Energy Agency accused Iran of traces of uranium detected at three major nuclear facilities.

Marandi said that the IAEA's accusations "must end once and for all" in order for Iran to sign the renewed agreement.

Iran dismissed his IAEA motion as "politicized" and removed surveillance cameras at key sites in response. Ruin the prospect of making a deal.

So observers were surprised when the negotiators returned to Vienna last week. Tehran's cautious support for the latest draft deal has raised the odds of an imminent return to the deal despite remaining hurdles. Even hardliners in the country, who have staunchly opposed it since it was signed by then-President Hassan Rouhani and the Obama administrations in 2015, have hailed the draft as an improvement over previous versions.

But Iran has limp since the Biden administration resumed talks to restore the deal about a year and a half ago. One of the reasons he has, Iranian analysts claim, is due to the enormous influence wielded by one of his people who was absent from the negotiations, Mr. Trump. Analysts say Iran is basing its negotiations on the possibility that a Republican candidate who aligns with Trump will win the US presidential election in 2024, and that Trump himself will win. By Iran's calculations, Biden's successor will once again pull out of the deal, unleashing a new storm of sanctions on the country.

"Trump's shadow looms over these negotiations, thanks to Iran's focus on securing economic guarantees that have dragged them out over the past year," said Amwaj. . media editor Mohammad Ali Shabani said. A London based outlet focused on Iran, Iraq and the Arabian Peninsula.

"If US secondary sanctions return, as we saw when Trump abandoned the deal, all the major Western private companies fled, and never looked back, How can we prevent it?" Shabani said. ``What mechanisms can be put in place to ensure that it does not happen again?''

US mechanism to impose.

In a development that risks adding another hurdle to negotiations, the US Justice Department on Tuesday accused Iran's Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps of trying to orchestrate the assassination ofJohn Bolton.}, who announced criminal charges against members, held senior national security positions during the Trump and Bush administrations.

Still, Iran has much to gain from re-signing the pact, even if only briefly.

Sanctions relief could unlock tens of billions of dollars in oil and gas revenues over the next two years, supporting Iran's struggling economy and boosting the popularity of Iran's hardline President Ebrahim Raisi. There is, he said Shabani.

Conversely, if negotiations continue to run into difficulties, the international community will face a major crisis. Tehran has been enriching uranium at higher levels and rates since Trump withdrew from negotiations and launched an aggressive sanctions regime in May 2018. The United Nations nuclear watchdog said in June that it would take Iran weeks to possess "a significant amount of enriched uranium", but added that it "does not imply possession of a bomb".

Moreover, the length of negotiations is complicating negotiations, so time remains critical. Earlier this year, Iran's request to remove the Revolutionary Guard from the US terrorist list was considered the last hurdle to revive the deal. That issue now seems to be out of the question. However, the development of Iran's uranium enrichment program has raised new issues that have led to the IAEA's condemnation of Tehran.

Iran accuses the West of trying to weaponize her IAEA accusations, using it as a legal pretext to withdraw from future agreements. Marandi told CNN that withdrawing the motion was a precondition for the restoration of the deal.

"Otherwise, the Iranians will not allow the Americans to take advantage of this or use it as a tool to undermine the agreement within weeks or months at most. There is no doubt that this is a prerequisite for the implementation of the agreement," Marandi told CNN.

Still, there are reasons for some optimism, and there may be some merit in going astray.

Shabani argued that an imminent return to the deal would "give both sides a breather", even if he were to be out of contract again in 2025.

"The United States can put the nuclear spirit back in her bottle for three years and then deal with it again in 2025," he said, Shabani.

Digest

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Periphery

Gulf Arab student tosses big bucks out of convertible sports his car on busy streets of Jordan The video of the event became a hot topic. It has sparked condemnation of flamboyance and discussion on how people should behave abroad on Arab social media.

This man, who appears to be celebrating his graduation, stands in his Mustang in his red Ford, wearing graduation robes over a traditional Arab tunic, blocking traffic. Throwing cash in the air. Bystanders are seen scrambling to collect as much money as possible. His car license plate was Kuwait.

"And they say we are not treated well [overseas]," Kuwait's Ahmed Al Sharqawi tweeted, apparently referring to Gulf Arabs. "If you respect others, you will be respected too."

Khaled Al Awadhi, an activist from Kuwait, said in a video posted to Twitter, that the act was “It shows us [Kuwaitis] as people who act in provocative ways because they have money.”

We would all have turned our backs on him if he did," he added, calling on parents to "raise their children well."

Oil-rich Kuwait is one of the richest Arab nations and one of the world's most valuable currencies.

An apology video was posted to Twitter by a man claiming to be a student in the first clip. His face is blurred and he states that he is actually Bahraini. The man apologized for "behaving inappropriately" by borrowing a Kuwaiti friend's car and said he was merely "expressing his joy".

By Mohammed Abdelbary

Time Capsule

70 Years Talal was proclaimed King of Jordan.

Hussein was his third monarch to rule over the Hashemite Kingdom. He was proclaimed king after his father, Talal, was declared unfit to rule due to mental illness by the country's parliament.

Starting his reign as a 17-year-old schoolboy on 11 August 1952, in his later years he was a respected politician, peace broker, and the longest-serving prisoner in the Middle East. evolved into a ruler.

For more than 40 years, Hussein ruled from the Hashemite dynasty, believed to be descended from the Prophet Muhammad, and not a kingdom much older than him. His reign was marked by threats to his sovereignty at home and the loss of the West Bank and East Jerusalem to Israel in war, although Jordan signed a peace treaty with the Jewish state after his two deaths. It also became the second Arab country.

Hussein succumbed to a battle with cancer on February 7, 1999 at the age of 63.