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Montreal's 2023 budget: City's debt and long-term investment are rising

The higher investment is because of "years of underinvestment in the maintenance of infrastructure, notably water and the road network."

Montreal executive committee chairperson Dominique Ollivier speaks to the media after a forum to find ways to diversify the city's revenue sources on Monday, November 7, 2022.
Montreal executive committee chairperson Dominique Ollivier speaks to the media after a forum to find ways to diversify the city's revenue sources on Monday, November 7, 2022. Photo by Allen McInnis /Montreal Gazette

The prospect of a recession hasn’t dampened the city of Montreal’s spending plans.

The city’s 10-year capital investment plan, tabled by the administration of Mayor Valérie Plante on Tuesday, is up by $2.46 billion – 12.6 per cent – over the current year’s plan.

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City executive committee chairperson Dominique Ollivier, Plante’s right hand at city hall, writes the higher investment is because of “years of underinvestment in the maintenance of infrastructure, notably water and the road network,” in a note in Montreal’s $6.76-billion operating budget for 2023 and the $22-billion 2023-2032 capital spending plan.

While the current year’s capital spending plan called for 70.3 per cent of long-term investments to be aimed at maintaining existing infrastructure and installations rather than developing new projects, the proportion is diminished to 68 per cent in the new 10-year capital spending plan. That means nearly one-third of the $22 billion planned as investments over the next decade are for building projects.

The 10-year capital works program will be financed mostly by long-term borrowing.

Using the analogy of a house, the city operating budget is like a bank account that’s used to pay for groceries and other day-to-day expenses. The capital spending plan is a wish list of expensive long-term projects, like repairing the roof, which are financed largely through long-term borrowing.

Some of the investments in the 2023-2032 capital spending plan

  • $3.77 billion for repair of roads and sidewalks, including $880.6 million destined for a program that puts a layer of asphalt on roads that are in bad shape while they await major repair.
  • $747.3 million to be spent on upgrading the city’s technology platforms, including digital technology at the municipal courthouse and a new communication platform for citizens.
  • $682.2 million to replace the incinerator at the island’s only water treatment facility, the Jean-R.-Marcotte plant in Rivière-des-Prairies; $461.2 million to continue a project to build an ozonation unit to disinfect water at the used-water treatment plant.
  • $507.1 million on bike paths, which includes $300 million to develop paths in the express bike network, known in French as REV, and $100 million to maintain existing bike paths.
  • $120.4 million for real-estate acquisitions to build social and community housing; $480 million for acquisitions to build affordable housing.
  • $413.4 million for aquatic installations.
  • $171.8 million to maintain sports installations.
  • $434.2 million for the long-promised Cavendish extension.
  • $132.3 million to redo Jean-Talon St. E. in St-Léonard.
  • $451.5 million to continue the renovation of Ste-Catherine St. downtown; $40.4 million to redo Peel St.; $70 million for continuing work on Pine Ave.
  • $409.6 million to improve Montreal’s library network.
  • $287.8 million for the city’s plans to build “eco-neighbourhoods,” including the Blue Bonnets-Hippodrome site near Jean-Talon St. W. and Décarie Blvd. ($156.6 million), de Louvain St. E. next to Christophe-Colomb Ave. ($67.2 million) and Lachine-Est ($64 million).
  • $270.3 million on natural habitats on the island; $406.5 million for large parks, including Jarry Park.
  • $264.3 million to repair the properties of Montreal’s police department and fire department.
  • $162.9 million to renovate Jean-Drapeau Park, including the aquatic centre.

The city anticipates $2.35 billion in gross expenditures on capital works projects in 2023, and borrowing of $1.13 billion.

As of this year, Montreal’s gross debt, including for the Société de transport de Montréal, is above $16 billion, which is double what it was in the first year of the municipal mergers in 2002. The STM has driven most of that increase.

While the opposition at city hall and the mayors of the island’s demerged suburbs have criticized the Plante administration for increasing the city’s debt, credit rating agencies have said they’re allayed by the province’s willingness to provide financial aid to the city.

Nevertheless, the agencies keep an eye on Montreal’s debt-to-revenue ratio. Montreal had a long-standing benchmark of 100 per cent, meaning the city’s net debt never exceeded its annual revenue. The Plante administration sought city council’s approval two years ago to temporarily go to 120 per cent.

The new capital works plan says the city’s net debt-to-revenue ratio will hit 111 per cent in 2022, below the new temporary ceiling of 120 per cent — largely because the city says investment slowed during the COVID-19 pandemic. However, the debt-to-revenue ratio is expected to hit 115 per cent in 2023, it says. It was 114 per cent in 2021.

The document says the city is still promising to return to a 100-per-cent net debt-to-revenue ratio in 2027.

Montreal’s credit rating influences the interest rate that lenders will charge the city on the billions of dollars it borrows for its infrastructure projects.

City administrations never spend all of their planned capital investments and have long promised to step up the pace.

The value of annual capital investments nearly doubled from 2015 to 2019, from $960 million to $1.8 billion, the latest capital plan says. However, investment slowed in 2020 and 2021 because of the pandemic, it says, adding that projects were either delayed or their start was postponed. The document says the rate of investment in 2022 should reach pre-pandemic levels.

lgyulai@postmedia.com