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TOUGH TO CALL: Parity highlights opening month of the NFL season

Oct 2, 2022; Houston, Texas, USA; Los Angeles Chargers wide receiver Mike Williams (81) attempts to make a catch as Houston Texans cornerback Derek Stingley Jr. (24) defends during the third quarter at NRG Stadium.
Oct 2, 2022; Houston, Texas, USA; Los Angeles Chargers wide receiver Mike Williams (81) attempts to make a catch as Houston Texans cornerback Derek Stingley Jr. (24) defends during the third quarter at NRG Stadium. Photo by Troy Taormina /USA TODAY Sports

Picking NFL games at the start of the season has never been more difficult than it was through the first four weeks of 2022.

Both straight up and against the spread.

Don Brennan’s daily hit on the world of sports betting. Whether you’re new to sports gambling or an experienced wagerer, this newsletter offers trustworthy insights into the odds game. 19+. Please gamble responsibly.

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A total of 15 teams have won the same number of games as they’ve lost.

According to ESPN Stats & Info, that ties 2017 for most teams with a 2-2 record at this point in NFL history.

Only one team has yet to hit the win column, but the Houston Texans did pick up a point in their season-opening tie with the Indianapolis Colts.

As the lone 4-0 team in the league, the Philadelphia Eagles have increased their Super Bowl odds to +850, or third shortest on the board.

They were tied as the 17th favourite at +4000 heading into the season.

Once again, the dogs have been barking out of the gate.

Especially with a total under 46 points, when favourites covered just 35 percent of the time,

Other ATS trends heading into Week 5, courtesy of ESPN.com:

Away teams: 30-31-3

Home teams: 31-30-3

Favourite: 25-35-3

Underdog: 35-25-3

Away favourite: 10-15-2

Home ‘dog: 15-10-2

Away ‘dog: 20-15-1

Home favourite: 15-2-1

-Don Brennan