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Yankees vs Pirates odds, predictions: today's best bets and MLB picks

The Yankees lost to the Pirates and the Mets lost to the Reds. What a terrible Tuesday for baseball in New York!

However, don't expect it to continue. The New York Yankees have the second best record inbaseballwhen they lost 15-6 this season. The only team with a better record is their cross-town rival Mets, which is 23-7.

Below is a preview of tonight's game in Pittsburgh (7:05 p.m. ET, YES Network). Here, the Yankees are once again quite a favorite.

Yankees vs. Pirates odds

odds provided by BetMGM

Spread: NYY- 1.5 (-125) vs. PIT +1.5 (+105)

Money Line: NYY (-200) vs. PIT (+165)

Total: 8.5 or higher (-115) | Less than 8.5 (-105)

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Yankees vs. Pirates Expected Pitcher

Luis Severino (4-3, 3.35) vs. Mitch Keller (2-5, 5.14)

Yankees vs Pirates Prediction

Yesterday's defeat was at least a bit surprising after the Yankees recorded 10 hits and only 2 runs. But pirates are actually starting to turn corners as franchises with legitimate young talent.

Among Ke'Bryan Hayes, Bryan Reynolds, Jake Swuniski, and Oneil Cruz, Pittsburgh's young core needs to make them a legitimate issue in the coming years (if no one is traded). ). Their 33-47 record is actually significantly better than expected for the season.

The need for improvement will have to come from their pitching staff, who are young and untalented. Look only at the players they trade off.

Mitch Keller
Getty Images

These players consist of Cy Young candidate Joe Musgrove and Gerrit Cole. It has been. To increase the pain, they also moved Tyler Glasnow recovering from Clay Holmes (0.49 ERA) and Tommy John's surgery. Their current young pitching talent consists of Roansy Contreras and Mitch Keller.

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Keller was one of the top 100 prospects in theMLB pipelinewhen he entered the Big League, but he didn't fully respond to the hype. His 5.14 ERA is bloated, but all his peripheral statistics show that some positive regressions should come.

He actually represents the best play of the game, as the total expected strikeouts are so small. Keller strikes out ‘over‘3. At the time of writing, there are 5 batters at -135. He exceeds this number in five of his last six contests, including three straights.

Luis Severino
Icon via Getty Images Sportswire

The Yankees lineup is small in number It's because of it. However, he made five strikeouts against the Dodgers in June (he walked five times). This is not where he is likely to be pulled after an early jam, as this indicates that Pirates caused Keller trouble.

The Yankees could win this, but at -200, the moneyline is too high to bet. However, the Yankees are 12-9 on the runline when the loss is removed, so the runline coming in at -125 could be a target spot.

For now, it's not official play, it's just lean. Only one Mitch Keller "exceeded" 3.5 strikeouts in the final game of this two-game set.

MLB chooses today

Mitch Keller "Over" 3.5 strikeouts-135 (BetMGM)