The French political scene is heading for a major shake-up as lawmakers prepare for a ground-breaking no-confidence vote. Michel Barnierʼs three-month-old government faces near-certain defeat this mid-week (a first such case since early 60s)
The high-stakes parliamentary showdown — scheduled for wed afternoon — comes after Barnier tried to push-through social security budget without proper voting process. His decision made Marine Le Penʼs National Rally withdraw its support from the minority government which created an un-expected alliance between far-right and left-wing forces
The economic fall-out is already visible: French debt markets show growing un-certainty‚ with risk rates hitting twelve-year peaks. Laurent Saint-Martin the Budget Minister points out that government collapse might lead to bigger deficit issues
Interior Minister Bruno Retailleau expressed strong views about the situation:
Those supporting no-confidence motion are playing Russian roulette with Frances future
The crisis impacts broader European politics — especially with German pre-election period and changes in US leadership. If Barnierʼs government falls President Emmanuel Macron might need to keep current cabinet as care-takers until next year
The budget proposal aimed to fix a 6% deficit through:
* 60-billion euro spending cuts
* New tax increases
* Deficit reduction to 5% next year
Le Penʼs position isnt risk-free either: recent polls show her party chief Jordan Bardella getting more support‚ while shes waiting for court decision about EU funds use that could affect her political future