In the georgian village of Odzisi activist David Katsarava keeps watch over valley lights coming from russian military base (located just across the border in South-Ossetia region). The area became dangerous after moscow took control during 08 invasion: “They can cross river‚ ambush you kidnap you and bring you to occupied territory“ he explains
His anti-occupation group tracks russian activities near border line. Since the conflict started about 16 yrs ago their data shows:
- At least 30 new russian bases built
- Around 3600 georgians taken hostage
- Seven people killed after torture
Recent oct elections brought more worries when pro-russian party Georgian Dream declared victory; despite wide-spread reports of voting problems. The opposition-backed president Salome Zourabichvili stated that moscow helped steal these elections
The government doesnt have any political will to defend our citizens
Since coming to power in early 10s Georgian Dream made many pro-moscow moves - they passed foreign-agent law limiting NGOs work; built stronger economic ties with russia and didnt stop russian visitors after ukraine war started. The ruling party says its “strategic patience“ policy helps keep peace
Military expert (who asked to stay unnamed) points out that georgias defense got weaker: “In 08 situation and preparation was higher than now - its kind of ridiculous.“ Recent drone footage shows increased activity at russian bases with more troops and equipment appearing
Nino Evgenidze from Economic Policy Research Center thinks if russia pushes western influence out of georgia - it would be one of putins biggest wins. Local activists worry that georgia might fall under moscow control without any invasion needed