A recent poll conducted by The Associated Press-NORC Center for Public Affairs Research reveals a shift in voter perceptions as the 2024 U.S. presidential election draws near. Kamala Harris, the Democratic presidential nominee, has seen a slight improvement in her favorability ratings since July 2024, when President Biden withdrew from the race.
According to the survey conducted from September 12-16, 2024, approximately half of the voters now hold a somewhat or very positive view of Harris, while 44% maintain a negative opinion. This marks a modest improvement from late July when views of Harris were slightly more unfavorable than favorable.
In contrast, Donald Trump's favorability ratings have remained steady, with about 6 in 10 voters expressing an unfavorable view of the former president. It's worth noting that the poll was conducted prior to an apparent assassination attempt on Trump at his golf course in Florida.
The survey highlights several key points:
- Voters are more likely to believe Harris would make a good president compared to Trump.
- Harris is perceived as having a better chance of winning the November election.
- Independent voters view Harris slightly more favorably than Trump.
- Voters see Harris as more likely to change the country for the better and fight for people like them.
Interestingly, both candidates are viewed as equally tough enough to be president, challenging Trump's attempts to portray Harris as a weak alternative.
"She's funny. I think she's very smart. She can speak well. I would feel safe with her because I think she can handle herself with foreign leaders. I like her because she's for pro-choice, and so am I."
This shift in public opinion comes at a crucial time in the election cycle. As the first woman, first African American, and first Asian American vice president in U.S. history, Harris brings a unique perspective to the race. Her background as a U.S. Senator from California (2017-2021) and Attorney General of California (2011-2017) provides her with valuable experience in both legislative and executive roles.
While the poll results are encouraging for the Harris campaign, it's important to note that Trump has prevailed in the past with similarly low favorability ratings. The 2016 election serves as a reminder that popularity doesn't always translate directly to electoral success in the U.S. system, where the Electoral College determines the winner.
As the campaign intensifies, both candidates will likely face increased scrutiny and challenges. With the presidential debates on the horizon and the inauguration scheduled for January 20, 2025, the coming months promise to be a critical period in shaping the future of American politics.