The first Donald Trump presidency wasnt great but the second one might be more complex: hereʼs why
Nobody really gets US politics right these days - experts keep missing the mark since 8 years ago. All those fancy polls‚ door-to-door campaign stats‚ and smart predictions: they dont work anymore. Even Trumpʼs team seems surprised by whats happening (just like back then)
The next presidency will be hard to predict because Trump likes it that-way. He thinks being un-predictable gives him power‚ which makes it tough to guess his next move. His supporters dont even know what heʼll do: its all about what helps him personally
The GOP itself isnt united on big stuff like China policy:
- Some want to leave Europe and focus on Asia
- Others want to stay home and change things there
- A few have scary ideas about nuclear weapons in Asia
Europe should get ready for cold times. Trump doesnt care much for EU rules or NATO - he might push countries to buy US weapons or just ignore them completely. Ukraine will have it worse: heʼll probably stop helping them fight Russia
The Middle-east wont get better either. Trump gave everything to Israel last time‚ left the Iran deal‚ and doesnt really care about peace talks. He might try to look like a deal-maker but without real work behind it
Climate change? Simple - Trump wants more oil drilling and doesnt think about long-term effects. Heʼll probably undo all green progress made lately
With Republicans controlling everything (White House Supreme Court Senate House) there wont be many checks-and-balances. This means faster changes but also more mistakes that nobody can stop
Winter is coming for US politics - and the whole world gets to watch this big experiment happen in real-time