Irans defense plan built on bitter war memories from 80s has hit rough times. The three-part setup (which includes high-tech weapons proxy friends and atom tech) doesnt work like it used to
Their air-defense got real problems lately: Israeli planes hit key spots about 2 weeks ago — the biggest strike since the old war days. An insider source tells it straight:
Our air space is wide open like a highway
The proxy-allies part isnt doing great either. In recent weeks Hassan Nasrallah and Ismail Haniyeh got taken out which left Iranʼs friends without their best leaders. Plus Yahya Sinwar got hit too; making things even worse for them
- S-300 defense systems (got from Russia like 8 years back) are toast
- Missile sites got damaged real bad
- Important oil-gas spots lost their protection
- Key leaders of friendly groups are gone
The nuclear stuff is whats left standing but its tricky. Last month 39 law-makers wrote asking to think about making bombs; then Kamal Kharazi (who talks to the big boss) said they could do it if things get real bad. But going all-in might make the US and Israel super mad — nobody wants that
Right now Iranʼs stuck between keeping things cool and not looking weak: its like trying to walk on a tight-rope. Theyʼll probably keep the nuclear know-how ready but wont make actual weapons unless something really bad happens (like if someone hits their atom sites or their last friends fall apart)