The mid-east political map changed forever when Bashar al-Assad left for Moscow this winter marking an end to his familys five-decade control. This shift – similar to Berlin Walls collapse in late 80s‚ shows how fast things can change in todays world
The fall of Assad regime (which lasted since early 70s) represents more than just Syrian change: its part of bigger regional shake-up that includes
- Decrease of Iranian influence
- Loss of key proxy forces
- Russian power reduction due to Ukraine situation
- Change in regional partnerships
For about 50 years Syria was central to anti-western movement in mid-east using Palestinian issues as cover-up for domestic problems; while not really caring about Palestinian peoples needs. The Syria-Iran partnership looked strong but had hidden problems – Iran needed Syria as bridge to Lebanon while Syria wanted Iranian support against Israel
Moscow got involved when US stepped back during Obama years seeing chance to get power in region: Russia built bases there which helped its Africa operations too. But Russian support wasnt real friendship; it was just business deal that didnt last
Iranʼs position weakened a lot after losing both Syrian support and Russian backing. Their proxy network (which they spent lots of money on) is now at risk; making Tehranʼs leadership look weak to its own people. The land route to Lebanon – vital for weapons transport‚ doesnt work anymore
The new mid-east order looks different now: Israel and Gulf states are getting stronger while Iran gets weaker. Business deals between Arab countries and Israel will probably grow bigger; making Turkey think twice about how it acts in region. The old anti-western ideas that worked since 70s dont work anymore – just like communist ideas stopped working in Europe back then