The once-stable US foreign policy landscape shows big cracks as political sides drift apart. A fresh study from William & Maryʼs TRIP project (done last month) shows how deep this split goes: experts see very different paths ahead based on who wins the next election
The survey which got answers from top international-relations scholars points to some real-world worries: theres a chance of about 38% that Donald Trump might pull US out from NATO while Kamala Harris would keep international deals going. The experts think both candidates would handle three main things differently:
- Global group membership
- Trade fees with other countries
- Money sent to help other nations
The research team at William & Mary (who did similar work back in 2020) found that Republican views on world matters changed a lot - its not like the old days when both sides mostly agreed on big choices. The way Trump changed his partyʼs thinking about world politics made experts think twice about whats coming next; while Harris seems to follow more standard approaches to dealing with other countries