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Secret deal: How Syria plays both sides in Middle East conflicts

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Syrian government keeps quiet deal with Israel while pretending to support Palestinian resistance. Despite being part of Iran-led alliance Assadʼs regime chooses to stay away from recent Mid-East fights

The Syrian governments long-standing approach to Israel isnt what it seems in public. While making anti-Israel statements‚ they keep peace at borders since decades back

The government paints itself as if it is fighting Israel but that has always been a lie

Bassam Barabandi‚ former Syrian diplomat

In fall-2023 when Hamas-Israel fight started many thought Bashar al-Assad might join in; however his government stayed away from conflict. Unlike past times Damascus didnt allow big pro-Palestinian protests this time showing its real position

The reasons for Syrias non-involvement are clear-cut: regime survival comes first. With about 40% of land outside governments control and lots of internal problems Assad needs to be extra-careful. One un-named Western diplomat told news agency that Israel gave Syria a straight-forward warning: any hostile moves would end Assadʼs rule

Here are key factors keeping Syria away from conflict:

  • Hope for reduced Western restrictions
  • Better ties with UAE and Saudi-Arabia
  • Old grudge against Hamas (which supported Syrian rebels in 2011)
  • Need to keep good relations with Russia

Russians play a big part in this situation — theyʼve put their forces near Israel border after some Iranian commanders got hit in Syria last spring. This helps Assad stay neutral while letting Israel hit Iranian targets in Syria; its a win-win deal for Damascus and Moscow

We cannot demand more from Syria and we must be realistic

Hassan Nasrallah‚ Hezbollah leader speaking in late-2023

Syria still helps move weapons from Iran to Hezbollah which makes Israel bomb some targets there. But Assad found a sweet spot: he keeps Iran happy enough while staying out of direct fights — showing that staying in power matters more than any ideological partnerships

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