In the final weeks of the 2024 U.S. presidential campaign, Kamala Harris and Donald Trump face a trio of crises that could significantly influence voter perceptions. The nation grapples with the aftermath of Hurricane Helene, escalating tensions in the Middle East, and a widespread dockworkers strike affecting ports from Maine to Texas.
President Joe Biden, though not seeking reelection, remains at the helm during these tumultuous times. His administration's handling of these challenges may impact how voters view Harris, his chosen successor. The White House press secretary, Karine Jean-Pierre, emphasized the importance of leadership in such moments, stating, "It matters who sits behind the Resolute Desk."
As of October 2, 2024, Harris and Biden have been actively managing the crises. They've coordinated hurricane recovery efforts, monitored the situation in Israel following an Iranian attack, and kept close contact with economic advisers regarding the dockworkers strike that began on October 1.
Trump, meanwhile, has criticized the administration's approach, claiming such problems wouldn't have occurred under his leadership. At a campaign event in Wisconsin, he stated, "The whole world is laughing at us. That's why Israel was under attack just a little while ago."
The impact of these events on the election outcome remains uncertain. Historically, late-term crises have played significant roles in shaping voter perceptions. For instance, the 2008 financial crisis led to the creation of the $700 billion Troubled Asset Relief Program (TARP), influencing that year's election. Similarly, the Iran hostage crisis, which lasted 444 days until January 20, 1981, affected Jimmy Carter's reelection bid.
"Unfortunately, there are going to be events like this, and this is where you see the leadership of a president show up."
The candidates' responses to these challenges could prove crucial in battleground states, where undecided voters may determine the election outcome. Christopher Borick, director of the Muhlenberg College Institute of Public Opinion, noted that while Biden can't directly campaign for Harris, his crisis management could sway undecided voters.
As the first female, African American, and Asian American vice president, Harris faces unique scrutiny in her bid for the presidency. Her campaign sees these crises as an opportunity to demonstrate her readiness for the role, scheduling public appearances and statements to showcase her leadership capabilities.
Trump, the 45th president who served from 2017 to 2021, continues to critique the current administration while offering prayers for those affected by Hurricane Helene. His campaign emphasizes a return to "peace through strength" if he were to regain the White House.
With the election approaching in November 2024, both candidates must navigate these complex issues while appealing to voters in key battleground states. The outcome may hinge on how effectively they demonstrate leadership and address the concerns of an electorate facing multiple national challenges.