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COVID-19: For every reported case in BC, 100 people get sick: report

The modeling group is concerned with discrepancies between reported cases and true cases. Rations Lab Test

UBC professor Sarah Otto, a member of the independent COVID-19 modelling group in B.C.
Professor Sarah Otto, Independent COVID member- Modeling Group of 19 BC. Vancouver Sun

Independent modellers estimate 100 times higher than officially reported by government may become.

A modeling group, including the University of BC, Simon Her Fraser University, the University of Victoria, and private sector experts, concluded that the underreporting of COVID-19 cases was due to the fact that the general public I warned you that it makes the risks difficult to understand.

Sarah Otto, an epidemiologist at her UBC and a member of the Modeling Group, said it was important for people to know that infection rates are much higher than reported. .

"Looking at the BC website, the [infection rate] curve looks very low, so it would be reasonable to think...more loose action could be taken." She of Canada Research said Otto. Chair of Theoretical and Experimental Evolution at UBC, specializing in mathematical modeling.

Using blood test survey data from the COVID-19 Immunity Task Force and Canadian Blood Services, the modeling group found that the BC cases, however, were more likely than the provincial health Coordinator Dr. Bonnie Henry said past blood studies suggest there could be up to 10 times more cases in BC. than laboratory tests reveal.

“As we enter the season of respiratory illness, everyone must remember that COVID-19 continues to spread throughout communities. We must take COVID-19 safety measures accordingly and keep our vaccines up to date," Henry said in an email.

It has been known for some time that the number of cases has been underreported because the use of more expensive laboratory tests has been discontinued, and states are collecting rapid test data. do not have. Its size was unknown.

Although hospitalizations and deaths from COVID-19 have stabilized and are trending downward in recent years, efforts have been made to reduce cases, including informing people when and where to use masks. Knowing your true level remains important. Whether and when to vaccinate or booster vaccines, Otto said.

Virtually all British He has been vaccinated or infected by Columbians, yet has decreased defenses over time and, in the case of the Omicron subspecies, It will probably take him three to four months, Otto explained.

BC Thursday Health Minister Adrian Dix told his CKNW that the health system is preparing him for what could be a very difficult fall and winter with COVID-19 and the flu. rice field.

Public health officials concluded a public briefing last spring, and numbers are now being reported online, with he once a week reporting more robust data.

Latest figures for BC. The Centers for Disease Control and Prevention has shown a downward trend in hospitalizations, critical care and deaths since the spring. There was a small spike in August, but now it's declining.

According to the latest figures, 24 people died this week, 22 were in critical care, and a total of 366 were hospitalized. The number of new cases reported this week is 877.

The documented case incidence is the lowest since the pandemic began in spring 2020 and is 30 times lower than the winter 2021 peak.

The risk of hospitalization or death continues to be in people over age 60, especially if he is over age 80.

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