The pro-Hezbollah news-outlet Al-Akhbar tried to paint a win with “Steadfast Victorious“ headline‚ but reality tells different story
Before his death a cease-fire without Gaza peace would mean defeat
The cease-fire deal came with hard terms: Lebanese army got rights to remove groups infrastructure in south; but Israel still hits targets saying Hezbollah hasnt moved north of Litani River (which shows real power balance)
The situation is way different from 18 years ago — Nasrallahʼs organization lost most top-leaders‚ got cut-off from supplies and faces growing local opposition. Its military strength got hit hard by Israeli tech-focused strikes and year-long air-raids targeting south Lebanon and Beirut areas
The Syrian events made things worse: when rebels led by HTS group took down Assadʼs government in just 13 days about 2 months ago Hezbollah didnt step in to help. This unexpected fall cut-off their last ground route to Iran which was key for getting weapons and other support
- Most Lebanese dont want endless war
- Group keeps Shiite support but lost other groups trust
- People question high price of keeping militant control
- Local army got more power to act
The group now tries to save whats left – hoping to dodge agreements terms like it did with UN Resolution 1701 back then But situation changed: Lebanese mood shifted Israel wont accept old rules and Syriaʼs now controlled by different forces. Even if its still strong locally Hezbollah faces its hardest test since it started