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New Iowa poll shows unexpected shift in presidential race just before election day

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Latest polling data from Iowa presents contradicting results for presidential candidates just days before election. Two major surveys show different leaders with significant gaps between Harris and Trump

A fresh Des Moines Register poll released yesterday shows Kamala Harris taking an unexpected lead over Donald Trump in Iowa - a state that used to be his strong-hold

The poll (conducted last week with 808 likely voters) puts Harris at 47% and Trump at 44%; this marks a big-time switch from early-fall numbers when Trump was ahead. Older women and non-party voters seem to be the main reason for this turn-around

Its worth noting that Trump won Iowa twice before - both times with more than 8-point leads. However the Trump teams chief data people say this new poll is way off-base; they point to another study done by Emerson College that shows a totally different picture

The Emerson survey (done just two days ago) gives Trump a 10-point advantage: showing him doing well with men and independent voters while Harris gets support from under-30 folks

The race for those six electoral votes comes as part of a nation-wide battle thats heating up - with early-voting already happening and election day coming up this tuesday. Both sides are now focusing on key states like:

  • North Carolina
  • Pennsylvania
  • Michigan
  • Wisconsin

The margin-of-error for both polls sits at 3.4% which means these numbers arent set in stone

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