Former president's possible comeback makes Middle East powers nervous

Political shifts in Washington could reshape Middle-eastern relationships next month. Regional powers prepare for major changes as polls show tight race between main candidates

November 3 2024 , 04:42 AM  •  5175 views

Former president's possible comeback makes Middle East powers nervous

The upcoming Nov 5th election has middle-eastern leaders on edge‚ as polls show Donald Trump and Kamala Harris in a neck-and-neck race. Iranian decision-makers dont like what they see in the numbers

A high-ranking mid-eastern source points to three main worries if Trump returns: support for Israeli strikes on nuclear sites‚ tough oil-trade limits‚ and green-light for targeted hits. The ex-president already showed his stance last month saying Israel should “hit nuclear sites first; think later“

Regional power-play is changing fast — a new US-Saudi defense deal (which connects to Israeli diplomatic ties) could re-draw the whole picture. Plus‚ Tel-Avivʼs recent actions against Iran-backed groups have shown what limited strikes might look like: quick and precise

  • Oil export blocks
  • Nuclear site attacks
  • Targeted operations
  • Economic pressure

Back in his first term Trump made big moves: killed general Soleimani‚ dropped the nuclear-deal‚ and put hard-hitting sanctions on Tehran. Now Iranʼs nuclear work has reached 60% enrichment — way up from the old 3.67% cap; this could push Israel to act

A western expert suggests Tehran knows theres a “new set-up“ coming (with or without Trump). Still‚ the Islamic Republic keeps saying its ready: “We always found ways around blocks and made new friends no matter whos in charge‚“ says one un-named Iranian official

Trump will either put very tough conditions on Iran or let Israel carry out targeted strikes on its nuclear facilities

Abdelaziz al-Sagher‚ Gulf Research Center