Next US president might change everything in Ukraine conflict - here is how

As US presidential election approaches big changes in Ukraine policy become more likely. New administration could push for peace-deal but faces complex challenges from both Ukrainian and Russian sides

November 7 2024 , 05:23 PM  •  109586 views

Next US president might change everything in Ukraine conflict - here is how

The next US administration under Donald Trump might bring major shift in Ukraine policy: Republican party shows less interest in sending military aid‚ and Trump wants peace-deal talks

Western weapon supplies face real-world limits (ammunition stocks getting low) while Ukraine deals with tough internal problems - lack of soldiers and wide-spread corruption. These issues make peace-talks more likely than before

The ground situation will affect any deal terms: Russian forces recent wins mean Ukraine might get less-favorable conditions than last year. However the Kursk area fighting (where Ukrainian troops made some progress) could give them extra bargaining power

Ukraineʼs leaders want solid safety promises - preferably NATO membership; but Moscow wont accept this. Behind closed-doors Kyiv might settle for less: keeping its independence ability to get western weapons and closer ties with EU economies

President Trump could push Kyiv towards negotiations but cant force them to agree. The Ukrainian government led by Volodymyr Zelensky might reject any deal they see as unfair - especially if its made without their input. They could try getting help from EU instead

If talks fail the new US government will need to pick: keep helping Ukraine or let EU handle everything. This choice will shape east-west relations for years