Famous Iowa pollster brings unexpected twist in Trump-Harris race
Latest poll from Iowa shows surprising shift in voter preferences ahead of presidential election. Well-known polling expert **J Ann Selzer** suggests women voters might change election outcome
Polling experts still try to figure-out Donald Trumps voter base after missing the mark in past elections (both in 2016 and about 4 years ago)
This time polling companies work extra-hard to count trump-supporters who dont usually pick up phones or trust traditional polling methods. These voters — often system-skeptical and hard-to-reach — make accurate predictions tough
A game-changing poll just came from Iowa: well-known expert J Ann Selzer (who got 4 out of 5 last presidential races right in Iowa) shows Kamala Harris leading by 3 points; this might mean similar changes in other swing-states like Wisconsin
Our job is to allow our data to reveal to us whats happening with the future electorate
The new poll shows interesting patterns: after Iowas mid-summer abortion rules changed womens voting plans shifted a lot. The pollsters didnt try to fix old mistakes — they just showed raw numbers
The real test of polling accuracy will come soon: either experts learned to measure Trumps support right or they went too far trying to fix past errors this time around
