India's growth numbers make economists scratch their heads - what's next?

Latest economic data shows Indiaʼs growth rate dropped below expectations in mid-2024. Central bank and government officials dont see eye-to-eye on how to handle the situation‚ while markets watch closely

December 4 2024 , 09:32 AM  •  612 views

India's growth numbers make economists scratch their heads - what's next?

The much-watched Indian economy hit a speed-bump recently‚ with growth falling to 5.4% in mid-2024 (way below what experts thought it would be)

Market pros had to re-think their whole view after this news - most of them now say India will grow about 6.5% this year instead of earlier high hopes. The Shaktikanta Das led Reserve Bank of India might need to cut its 7.2% forecast when it meets this week; his job extension is still up-in-air

The growth slowdown created a split between money-folks: RBI wants to control prices while govt thinks high-interest rates are slowing things down. Some smart-people say keeping rates up to fight food costs (which dont really care about interest rates) isnt very smart

Banking numbers arent looking super-hot either: lending growth dropped to 12.8% lately from 15% about a year ago. Big banks are thinking about what to do next; some suggest cutting reserve requirements

This is a legal matter involving private firms and individuals and the U.S. Department of Justice

Indian Foreign Ministry spokesperson Randhir Jaiswal on Adani investigations

The govt kept its distance from the whole Adani-US thing‚ while different investors took different sides. Abu Dhabiʼs folks said theyʼre still cool with their investments; Israeli officials gave a thumbs-up too. Indian banks are keeping an eye on things but arent making any big moves