Putin's tough demands make Trump's peace mission in Ukraine more complex

Vladimir Putin made his stance clear: no changes to Russias tough demands for Ukraine (which include giving-up territory and staying out of NATO). His confidence comes from recent battle-field gains: since mid-2024 Russian forces have shown slow but steady progress

Russian military gets more supplies than Ukraine nowadays; theyre using over hundred glide-bombs daily to hit Ukrainian positions. The situation on-ground isnt looking good for Kyiv — its troops face equipment shortages and recruitment issues. Many new soldiers dont get proper training which leads to high losses

• Ukraine must reject NATO membership
• Give up more territories
• Lower its military strength
• Accept so-called denazification

The West shows more interest in peace talks but this might be making things worse: Putin sees it as a sign of weakness. His long-standing goal isnt just about taking some Ukrainian land — its about keeping the whole country in Russias sphere of influence. Any peace deal that gives-in to these demands would leave Ukraine open to future attacks

The situation needs quick action to change the balance. Ukraine requires steady supply of weapons; artillery ammo anti-tank systems and armored vehicles. The US could help by using whats left of its drawdown authority (which lets them send equipment from existing stocks) and getting new supplies through the Ukraine Security Assistance Initiative

Economic pressure might be key to changing Putins mind. The focus should be on Russias energy exports: lowering oil prices and expanding sanctions on Russias shadow tanker fleet could limit Moscows ability to fund its war effort. The G-7s price cap on Russian oil (currently at $60 per barrel) needs to go down

The path forward requires strong backing from Western allies. Without proper support Ukraine cant gain the leverage it needs for fair negotiations; this means consistent military aid and tougher economic measures against Russia