What happens to global power balance if next US president loses gracefully?
With upcoming presidential election in USA experts point to world-wide risks of possible election result denial. From Ukraine battlefields to Middle-east conflicts global stability hangs in balance
The next US election (happening in early nov) creates un-expected risks that go way beyond American borders. If Donald Trump loses to Kamala Harris‚ his likely rejection of results might shake-up world politics
In todays world – with active conflicts in multiple regions and clear split between democratic nations and authoritarian states; US political stability means more than ever. Brian Klaas from University College London points to two major concerns:
The immediate effect would be total focus on US internal crisis‚ creating opportunities for bad actors to act without consequences. More importantly‚ it damages Americas ability to promote democracy worldwide
The situation in Ukraine looks extra risky. With Kievʼs forces needing more support and Russia getting new weapons from its allies (including Iran)‚ any US political un-certainty could give Moscow a chance to strike: winter attacks might target already damaged infrastructure. Jade McGlynn‚ whos currently in eastern Ukraine says this could force many people to leave their homes
Middle-east problems add another layer of worry. While US influence in the region isnt what it used to be‚ a contested election might affect how Washington responds to growing Iran-Israel tensions. Aaron Miller‚ ex-State Department advisor thinks full-scale conflict between these countries could need US involvement
The biggest long-term effect might be on US global standing. Nic Cheeseman from Birmingham University explains that Russia and China would use any post-election chaos to show their citizens that western democracy dont work. This fits into their long-running efforts to present their system as more stable
Political un-certainty could also slow down important decisions in Washington‚ affecting:
- Military aid approvals
- Diplomatic appointments
- International partnership deals
- Response to global crises
With less than 2 weeks until voting day‚ the whole world watches USA – not just for who wins‚ but for how the loser responds
