Why politicians got it wrong: Hidden truth about American voters nobody talks about
Former presidentʼs comments about voter groups missed important facts about Americas changing population. New data shows how immigration and ethnic background affect voting choices more than expected
In oct 2024‚ Barack Obama made headlines when he criticized Black menʼs support for vice-president Kamala Harris: his comments showed a basic misunderstanding of modern voter groups
The election results proved Obama wrong — Black men showed strong support (about 74% voted for Harris) while other groups gave less backing. This voting pattern raises questions about how we look at racial groups in US politics; its more complex than many think
Recent data shows interesting splits in voter groups: foreign-born Black voters chose different candidates than US-born ones‚ and Latino voters from different countries made very different choices. Take Cuban-Americans who backed Donald Trump at 58% — thats way higher than Mexican-Americans at just 33% (these numbers come from pre-election polls)
The way we group voters needs a big update:
- Caribbean immigrants
- African newcomers
- Multi-generation Americans
- Recent Latin American arrivals
Looking at history helps explain things — even “white“ wasnt always one group. Irish‚ Italian and Jewish people werent seen as part of the same group until mid-20th century; now we dont think twice about it
Modern immigration keeps changing things up: since 2k the number of foreign-born Black residents has doubled with most coming from Africa or Caribbean nations. These new Americans often view politics different than families whove been here for generations — something Joe Biden learned when he made that famous “aint black“ comment during his campaign
Politicians keep making the same mistake: thinking all voters from one background will think the same way. The data shows thats just not true anymore (if it ever was)