Putin's hard-line stance makes Trump's peace mission in Ukraine more complex

Russian leader stays firm on demands for Ukraineʼs surrender while military situation shifts in Moscowʼs favor. Western allies need new strategy to gain upper hand in future peace talks

December 4 2024 , 12:23 PM  •  789 views

Putin's hard-line stance makes Trump's peace mission in Ukraine more complex

Vladimir Putin made his stance clear about a year ago: his demands for Ukraine remain unchanged and non-negotiable (including territorial gains NATO-ban and military limits)

The war situation shows troubling signs: Ukraine faces resource shortages while Russia gets extra firepower from its industry and North-Korea. Russian forces use over 100 guided-bombs daily which creates a hard-to-manage front-line situation; their troops move forward bit-by-bit since mid-2023

The peace-talk landscape looks complex: Putin wants things that would leave Ukraine defenseless — its a red flag for Western allies. His long-running goal to keep Ukraine under Russias control wont change anytime soon; this makes any quick-fix solutions unlikely

Here are key problems Ukraine deals with:

  • Low troop numbers and training issues
  • Less artillery shells than Russia
  • Weak air defense system
  • damaged power stations
  • limited western investment

The US could help change this situation. When Donald Trump takes office he should use remaining military aid funds and push for a new Ukraine support package. The aid needs to focus on essential items: artillery ammo anti-tank weapons and armored vehicles

Trumpʼs team should also look at expanding Ukraines strike capabilities: they need more long-range missiles (like ATACMS or JASSM) and fewer limits on their use. Getting Germany to share its Taurus missiles could be another good move

Economic pressure remains crucial: hitting Russias energy income through stricter oil price caps and shadow-fleet tanker controls would make Moscow think twice. Working with Saudi-Arabia to lower global oil prices could add extra pressure on Russian economy