WELLINGTON, New Zealand – New Zealand's economy suffered its biggest contraction in 29 years during the first 3 months of the year, official data showed on Thursday, June 18, with worse expected as the coronavirus pandemic's full impact emerges.
Gross domestic product (GDP) shrank 1.6% in the January-March quarter, the biggest fall since early 1991.
The contraction exceeded market expectations of about 1%, even though the quarter only covers the early stages of the coronavirus crisis.
New Zealand entered a strict 7-week lockdown on March 24.
"This quarter's GDP results showed a widespread drop in economic activity as travel restrictions took hold and the country moved towards lockdown," Statistics New Zealand said.
"COVID-19 effects came on top of the smaller impact from drought in some parts of the country. The 1.6% fall surpassed quarterly falls during the global financial crisis in the late 2000s."
Westpac Bank predicts GDP will plummet by up to 13.8% in the April-June period, providing a 2nd quarter of negative growth that would officially tip New Zealand into recession.
Hospitality was among the worst-affected sectors, shrinking by 7.8%, while transport and warehousing was off 4.1% and construction fell 4.1%.
The quarterly figure took annual GDP growth for the year to March 31 to 1.5%, compared with 3.1% for the same period a year earlier.
New Zealand's center-left coalition government took what it termed a "go early, go hard" approach to the pandemic, sealing borders and imposing a strict lockdown to contain the virus.
It has been largely successful, with only 22 deaths in a population of 5 million and domestic businesses operating without restrictions after the lockdown was lifted.
However, confidence was dented this week when it emerged two recent arrivals from Britain were mistakenly allowed out of quarantine early, only to both test positive later. – Rappler.com