. May bring.
From here, let's look at this week's news numerically.
The Supreme Court is not elected by voters. However, many agree that it is important for the courtto maintain its legitimacyin the eyes of the public. After all, courts rely on others to enforce their own judgments.
The legitimacy of the High Court in the minds of the people is already at a very low level, before Roe overthrows-what most Americansdo not want
According to a May poll at Quinnipiac University, 41% of voters approved the Supreme Court's work and the majority (52%) disapproved. This was the highest disapproval rating recorded since Quini Piac began asking about court approval in 2004.
The court's position is a reversal from the situation two years ago, when 52% of voters approved and 37% disapproved. By voting for Quini Piac.
Quini Piac is not the only pollster who has shown a significant decline in court status. The percentage of Americans with great or considerable confidence in court (25%) is the lowest level ever recorded byGallupsince 1973.
Slides may be primarily due to the Democratic Party. Today, 78% of Democrats opposed the work of the court, and according toQuini Piac, in2020, only 43% opposed it. Republican court disapproval has dropped from 38% two years ago to 28% now.
It is very clear why the people and the Democratic Party opposed the Supreme Court. It is increasingly political and is considered to be making unpopular decisions.
According to the Quinnipiac study mentioned above, only 34% of voters believed that the courts were primarily motivated by law. Most (62%) felt that the Supreme Court was largely motivated by politics. Four years ago, the division was much more uniform, with 50% believing that the courts were mainly motivated by politics and 42% saying that they were mainly motivated by law.
Again, this trend is being driven by the Democratic Party. Eighty-six percent of them told Quinipiac that the courts were largely motivated by politics. This is an increase from 60%in 2018Republicans who said the same thing have barely changed from 46% in 2018 to 42% now.
If the court was considered an activist and made a popular judgment, that would be one thing. it's not. Both Gallup and Quinnipiak's votes came after the May statement that the court was on the verge of overthrowing Roe.
The Americans agreed to the 1973 Roe v. Wade decision. May NBC News pollfound that 63% of them did not want to overthrow Roe. Indeed, all polls I know clearly show that the vast majority of Americans support Roe.
This is almost always the case, and this unpopularity was reached in 1973 when 52% supported the poll decision byLouis Harris & Associates
. I don't know if I can recall just another controversial and consequential Supreme Court ruling.
Polldiscovered a split publicwhen the court nearly upheld the Affordable Care Act in 2012.
The majority of Americans (54%) agreed with the court suspensionCBS News pollat the time, 2000 between George W. Bush and Al Gore A poll in Florida that virtually ended the year's presidential election.
The majority (55%)also approved the 1954 Brown v. Board of Education's decision to separate public schools.
It can be argued that what the Supreme Court has done to overthrow Law is unprecedented from a public opinion standpoint.
However, it has not yet been determined what impact it will have in the end.
Record mid-term turnout seems possible
One of the potential impacts of the Supreme Court's latest decision is that people can vote It can be more likely. It's already seeing really high turnout.
In other words, you may be seeing a record turnout for the second year in a row.
By Tuesday, primary turnout has increased by 13% in the states that have voted so far compared to this point in 2018 (this is in 2018 or 2022). It does not include the states where the turnout of the entire state was not available in either of them.)
The turnout of 2018 itself,increased byfrom both 2014 and 2010. Did. In fact, the mid-term turnout in 2018 was, with a turnout of. -Eligible population-more than a century.
Given what we've seen in Virginia last year, or in previous polls in this cycle, high primary turnout isn't surprising. In the highly competitive Virginia Governor's election, the turnout of the federal out-of-year elections wasthe highest since at least the mid-1990s.
In addition, according to theCNN / SSRS poll, more voters are more enthusiastic about voting this year than in 2010 or 2014, with enthusiasm for 2018. It is in line with the feelings of voters at this point.
Under slightly different indicators, theABC News / Washington Post voteis at this point in the mid-cycle, 2010, 2014, or 2018 cycle.
It should be pointed out that under all these turnout indicators, Republicans are superior to Democrats. Voter turnout has increased by 28% in the Republican primary since 2018, but has decreased by 2% in the Democratic primary. Opinion polls show that Republicans are more enthusiastic and reliable than Democrats.
Roe's collapse can change its dynamics, at least a little. A majority of Democrats (55%) said in aMay Kaiser Family Foundation votethat if Roe capsized, he would be more motivated to run in the medium term. Only 23% of Republicans said the same thing.
In other words, Roe's overthrow may mean that he may not be looking only at the record Republican turnout coming in November. Democrats may not be too late.
Easy encounter: School ends in the largest city in the country
Many students, from kindergarten to grade 12, spend some summer vacation. This is not the case in New York City, where the last day of school isMonday
. For most elementary school students,2015 Gallup Pollingis a bit sad. The majority of them feel that they are engaged in school. The opposite is also true for high school students who find it almost boring.
Editorial: This writer always felt ecstatic at the end of school, regardless of grade. He hates school andso farnever wanted to go back.
Remaining Polls
American Impact: NewPew Research Center Pollsare Americans Forty-seven percent believe that the country's world influence is weakening, while 19% believe it is increasing. The majority (66%) believe that China is becoming more influential.
Smartphone attachments: According to a recentGallup survey, 58% of Americans say they spend too much time on their smartphones. , About 65% say the device made them, at least a little better in their lives.
Trump Trouble: FormerPresident Donald Trumphas taken the lead in all national or early primary state polls since February 2016 Was there. In this streak, Florida GovernorRon DeSantisposted a lead (39% to 37%) within the error margin in last week'sRepublican voter vote.
