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Since the inauguration of President Biden, North Korea has increased tensions on the Korean Peninsula by testing ballistic missile programs, including intercontinental ballistic missiles (ICBMs). .. Experts in the region believe that Biden's policy has failed and needs to be readjusted, or at risk of headaches for yet another foreign policy.
North Korea is preparing for a nuclear test: Official
From the beginning of this year , North Korea has repeatedly tested its missile programsand has already conducted round 19 missile tests on various ballistic missile weapons. Following an unprecedented round of North Korean missile tests, Washington and outside experts blamed the regime for completing all preparatory steps for its seventh nuclear test.
The provider of this photo The North Korean government will display a huge North Korean flag on Thursday, September 9, 2021 as it celebrates the country's 73rd anniversary at Kim Il Sung Square in Pyongyang, North Korea. Independent journalists are depicted in this image distributed by the North Korean government, which was not given access to cover the event. The content of this image is as provided and cannot be viewed individually. The Korean watermarks on the images provided by the source are: "KCNA" is an abbreviation for Korean Central News Agency. (Korean Central News Agency / Korean News Service via AP)(Korean Central News Agency / Korean News Agency via AP)
"North Korea is not the top Washington Ankit Panda, a senior researcher at the Carnegie International Peace Fund in Washington, said:
Panditt continued, "For now, North Korea promises Kim Jong-on. There is little that the government can do to prevent it from advancing its military modernization goals, "he added. "North Korea is unlikely to reward US interest in negotiations until modernization efforts are complete," he said.
Considering the tension on the Korean Peninsula due to the North Korean missile test and the lack of dialogue between the two countries, experts say that theBiden administration's North Korean policyis so. It warns that it has shown that it is doing. It is far less effective and cannot really tackle the North Korean problem.
Launch a ballistic missile after North Korea creates a nuclear threat
Lee Biden (Professor at Fletcher School) At Tufts University, North Korea said it did not respond to the Biden administration's allegations because "it is not the time (North Korea) is involved (in the dialogue), but the time to increase its net value."
"Like an elite athlete who is aware of his performance before the next contract negotiation, North Korea needs to increase its net value, it to the region and the United States. It means threat ability, "Lee said.
Despite the message of renewing stagnant nuclear negotiations, North Korea continues to test missile weapons, andKim Jong Unwill test nuclear and ICBM in March. Withdrew the self-moratorium on. At the military parade in April this year, state media said that the mission of the nuclear army was to deter war, but "our nuclear weapons are a single deterrent to war, even in situations we do not want. You will never be limited to your mission. " All of are created on this land.
President Biden and President Yoon Suk-yul of South Korea Remarks When they visited Samsung Electronics Pyeongtaek Campus in Pyeongtaek, South Korea on Friday, May 20, 2022. (AP Photo / Evan Vucci)(AP Photo / Evan Vucci)
In addition to the pressure facing the Biden administration on the peninsula,I have a desire. South Korea's new president, Yoon Sin-shu, has deployed tactical nuclear weapons to Washington in the south. This revealed that the Biden administration did not support it. Proponents urged the deployment of nuclear weapons in Seoul, as there was no policy or approach to successfully remove North Korea's nuclear weapons from the Korean Peninsula for decades.
The challenge is the Biden administration facing the new South Korean administration.
Kim's self-moratorium is a carrot&stick policy for South Korean President Moon Jae-in and President Donald Trump's 2018 nuclear negotiations. rice field. Since Trump left the Hanoi summit in 2019, Kim has publicly announced his willingness to adopt his old school policy centered on "strength to strength" against the United States and South Korea. Expressed.
The Biden administration's policies are known as a "coordinated and practical" approach to North Korea, and are key to North Korea after months of policy reviews in 2020. It was set as an overture. The Biden administration has consistently sent a message to Pyongyang that there is no hostile intention to North Korea since the Kim administration demanded that Washington abolish the so-called "hostile policy." Its policies include joint military exercises between the United States and South Korea, sanctions, and 28,000 US troops stationed in South Korea.
The Biden administration's North Korean policy is a part of its specialty The house is ineffective.
"Biden's position that he can only interact with gold if he takes practical steps to denuclearize is that gold (from the Pyongyang side) succumbs to the United States. Can be interpreted as requesting. " Jung Sung-chan, director of the North Korean Research Center at the Sejong Institute in South Korea, said.
North Korea is willing to continue developing its nuclear and missile capabilities by deploying tactical nuclear weapons in frontline areas and building nuclear submarines to secure secondary attack capabilities against the United States. And, according to Chung, the percentage of Kim who followed the prerequisites for Biden's dialogue is close to zero.
US issues new sanctions against North Korea after missile test
Some experts sayChina The Biden administration's policy on North Korea, which claims to have created the factor, is ineffective given the deteriorating relations between the two countries.
They say this distance between the two camps is the result of the Biden administration's strengthening of policies against China in the region. QUAD-A group consisting of the United States, Australia and India-An example.
As a result of this push, the relationship between Kim and Xi Jinping appears to have been strengthened to deal with the increasing leverage of the United States and its regional allies, and Kim seems to have tightened tensions on the Korean Peninsula. I escalated.
China has publicly expressed its support for the denuclearization of the Korean Peninsula, but North Korea has a missile program due to the steady development of its nuclear and missile programs. Has never taken any substantive steps to prevent further development. In addition, in the wake of the Ukraine crisis, China and Russia, as permanent members of theUN Security Council, have rejected new economic sanctions on North Korea's missile tests.
With China Russia has recently vetoed a resolution backed by the United States at the UN Security Council. The resolution would have punished North Korea with more sanctions for recent illegal missile test launches. (Manuel Elias / UN Photo / Distribution via Xinhua)(Manuel Elias / UN Photo / Distribution via Xinhua)
"Now for Biden We will strengthen the increasingly difficult conflict between the United States and China and cooperate with China in North Korea. "
China's Xi Jinping stress cooperation with North Korea's Kim under the "new situation": National media
In Washington, Prime Minister Lee said, "Since North Korea is economically dependent on China, the sanctions will be effective in order to solve the problem through bilateral dialogue with North Korea in coordination with allies. It's weakening and tensions are rising. " It is rising on the Korean Peninsula due to China's non-cooperation. "
According to experts, the main reason the Biden administration's approach to North Korea is invalid is the precondition for a dialogue between Biden and Kim. Biden reiterated his visit to Seoul last month to meet North Korean leaders only when Kim was "honest" and "serious," that is, when he stepped into denuclearization of his country. However, this approach is unlikely to make substantial progress due to the denuclearization of the Korean Peninsula and the reconciliation between the two countries.
This photo government distributed by North Korea , North Korean leader Kim Jong Un, front, applauded in a private location in North Korea on March 24, 2022, during a test firing of the Hwasong-16 Intercontinental Ballistic Missile (ICBM). Independent journalists were not given access to cover the events depicted in this image distributed by the North Korean government. The content of this image is as provided and cannot be viewed individually. The Korean watermarks on the images provided by the source are: "KCNA" is an abbreviation for Korean Central News Agency. (Korean News Service via Korea Central News Agency / AP)
Kim Jun-hyun, a former Prime Minister of the National Academy of Foreign Affairs of Korea and a professor of international affairs at Korea East University, South Korea, which has told North Korea, has repeatedly demanded preconditions for renewing the deadlocked nuclear negotiations in a clear position.
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"The United States has proposed that North Korea first return to the negotiating table to resolve the issue through dialogue, but North Korea has been at an event with the United States since the failed Hanoi summit. He showed no interest in having such a dialogue again. "
The North Korean government's approach is to seduce North Korea with an unspecified economic package that it can offer after it has made substantial progress in denuclearizing the Korean Peninsula. Sticking to.However, Kim Jong Un preemptively denuclearizes North Korea to negotiate with Biden, as North Korea repeatedly demanded that the United States first remove "hostile policies" in order to restore dialogue. It is unlikely that he will give up his nuclear weapons to do so. Professor.
"Given that Biden, who is working with domestic politics, does not make bold concessions on the uncertain North Korean issue, Washington is the Obama administration's" strategic patience "or" [North. A strategic negligence approach to Korea] ".
