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ATP Cincinnati picks: Rafael Nadal vs. Borna Coric best bet

ATP Western & Wednesday night's headliners at the Southern Open are:Betting position.

On one side of the court stands Rafael Nadal, facing a match for the first time since Taylor beat his Fritz in the Wimbledon quarterfinals and ripped his abdomen out. On the other side is underdog Borna Coric, a very talented 25-year-old who has spent most of her last two seasons battling injuries. 

Coric is in the right direction as the Croatian won her Challenger title on her Tour in July and an impressive win over Lorenzo her Musetti in this round 1 It looks like it's starting to progress to tournament.

Nonetheless, Coric is still in a heavy +500 loss to Nadal, who returned Wednesday night. 

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Rafael Nadal
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Rafael Nadal vs. Borna Coric Prediction

It's pretty hard to imagine anyone feeling confident about hitting a player -690 in their first match after having their abdomen ripped out, but Nadal has a lot of rules. is an exception.

At this point in his career, Nadal is used to coming back from lengthy layoffs, whether it's due to injury or simply to manage his schedule. He won the Australian Open after winning the title in Acapulco after a month break, reaching the quarterfinals in Madrid after his two month break following Indian Wells, and Wimbledon on grass courts. We advanced to the semi-finals despite not playing a match. A month after he won the French Open. 

And while Nadal has a very good chance of winning this match, there is reason to believe that Coric can at least hang around. Coric is not only match-fit, but has his share of the four games he has played against Rafael in his career. All of these matches were played between 2014 and 2017, so they're probably not terribly relevant, but they're better than the alternatives.  

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In addition to his strong career numbers against Nadal, Coric's supporters can also be assured that Nadal will not reach his power peak in the first official match after the break. He won every contest just after the long break this year, but he did drop sets to Sebastian Korda and Francisco Cerundro and was brought into a tiebreaker with Miomir Kekmanović. 

Nadal has a good chance of winning this fight, even with injury and rust concerns. But there are also faint signs that Coric can hang out with his 22-time Grand Slam champion, and the +500 figure is enough to draw interest. Tennis In his abstract, Coric has a 19.9% ​​chance of upset Nadal. Converting this to a two-way money line gives +402.

Bets: Over 20.5 Games | Borna Coric +500 (Fan Duel)