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Transaction drop-off reveals heightened business insecurity

This version of the story was first published in CNN Business's Before the Bell newsletter. I'm not a subscriber. From here you can sign up for Click the same link to hear the audio version of the newsletter.

London (CNN Business)Transactions are booming when markets are stable and companies are happy with access to the economy and financing. Will be. When things get worse, the flag of trust will be raised and the number of companies seeking an initial public offering or acquisition will decrease. That's what's happening now.

Details, Details: According to Dealogic data provided to Before the Bell, the number of initial public offerings (IPOs) worldwide this year has decreased by 54% compared to 2021. increase. Mergers and acquisitions plummeted 25%.

Drop-offs occur when central banks around the world raise interest rates, leading to higher borrowing costs and worsening financial conditions. Decades-High inflation also contributes to recessionary concerns as consumers begin to run out of pandemic savings, ruining markets and raising questions about how long the recovery will last.

In this environment, companies wishing to perform an IPO or sell their business continue to be on the sidelines, waiting for the market to recover as more money can be raised from investors. I like it.

See here: This week,Walgreens Boots Alliance (WBA)is a boots and No7 beauty brand Plan to sell.

"Since we started the process, global financial markets have undergone unexpected and dramatic changes," the company said in a statement. “As market instability has had a profound impact on the availability of funding, no third party has been able to make a proposal that adequately reflects the high potential value of boots and the No7 Beauty Company.

Italian oil and gas companyEni (E)has recently been in the renewable energy and retail industry. Work that postponed the IPO of Plenitude.

"The volatility and uncertainty currently affecting the market requires an additional step in monitoring," the company said.

Activity may recover again after the traditional summer calm. Volkswagen said Wednesday that it is still working on a Porsche IPO for the fourth quarter. However, the transaction depends heavily on how the situation evolves from here.

At this point, investors want a company with a high market position and strong cash flow, according to Willemselus, Chief Investment Officer of HSBC Global Private Bank. In short, young companies going through the IPO process may seem unattractive.

"What people are looking for right now is a company in a really high quality area, a well-established company," Sels told me.

Painful: Major banks raised money during a series of record deals last year when the market was still hot. Currently, they are getting closer to the advisory business. That's one of the reasons stocks are struggling. The KBW Bank Index, which tracks US creditors, has seen a 22% decline to date, compared to a nearly 20% decline in the S&P 500. I can't enter anymore. "

It is the prediction until the face here turns blue to judge whether the US economy is in recession.

But the recession in the United States does not come, at least officially, until a group of eight economists say so.

Members of the Business Cycle Dating Commission, an expert in macroeconomics and business cycle research, work under the umbrella of the National Bureau of Economic Research, a private non-profit organization.

There is a clear lack of racial diversity among the members, reports my CNN Business colleague Nicole Goodkind. They are all over 60 years old and have a relationship with a prestigious university. The group contains two women.

The final decision on the members of the Commission will be made by MIT economist President James Potaba of NBER. The group does not have a predetermined meeting date and its deliberations are private.

Important Reason: The NBER recession designation has been used and accepted by the US Government, businesses, investors and journalists. That is, they provide information for policy making and historical analysis of past recessions.

A recession is usually defined for two consecutive quarters of negative GDP growth, but the NBER guidance is more ambiguous. According to the Commission, the recession "is widespread throughout the economy, with a significant decline in economic activity that lasts for more than a few months."

The designation is often retroactive. That is, the United States may now be in the midst of a recession without official recognition until after the fact. The NBER officially announced the Covid-19 recession in June 2020, which was faster than usual.

Radar: According to the latest data from the Bureau of Economic Analysis, the US economyin the first quarter shrank at an annual rate of 1.6%.

This is a slightly deeper contraction than previously estimated. However, economists who anticipate a recession believe that a recession is unlikely to occur by late 2022 or 2023.

Bed bath&Beyond was Reddit's favorite. Now confused

Bed bath&Beyond(BBBY)is 1 It was-a meme stock trader's time darling. Currently, the company is in a state of turmoil and its share has plummeted.

CEO Mark Tritton was banished just three years after taking the lead of a retailer. Bed Bath & Beyond hired Sue Gove, an independent director of the company's board of directors, to hold the reins until a permanent person was found in that position.

"We need to provide improved results," Gove said in a statement.

Bed Bath&Beyond Poached Lytton from Target in 2019. He was previously responsible for expanding the target private label brand that he tried to duplicate in Bed Bath&Beyond. However, these items are not as accepted by customers as their competitors are.

On Wednesday, the chain reported significantly lower earnings than expected in the previous quarter. Brand sales were down 27% year-over-year.

Equities fell 24% on Wednesday and fell again in pre-market trading on Thursday. They have shed about 66% so far this year.

Tritton's resignation is "unavoidable," and revenue reports "rarely stimulate confidence in the company's trajectory," Global Data Managing Director Neil Saunders told clients. ..

Quick Flashback: Armchair traders adjusting with Reddit helped send Bed Bath&Beyond shares to nearly $ 54 in early 2021. They closed for less than $ 5 per share on Wednesday.

Next

Walgreens Boots Alliance andConstellationBrands (STZ)Report results before the US market opens. Micron(MICR)follows after closing.

Today:

Tomorrow: The latest ISM manufacturing index that tracks the industrial sector of the US economy.