The picture on the TV screen was spoken by French President Emmanuel Macron during a speech aired in Paris on June 22, 2022. It shows where you are. -President Emmanuel Macron addressed on television on June 22 and issued his first official statement since the centrist party lost a majority of parliament in the elections. His speech will follow talks with the leaders of most French political parties, including far-right and far-left groups that could make significant profits in parliament and stop Macron's reformist agenda.
Ludovic MARIN-AFP
Ideas
Emmanuel Macronhas had quite a few vehicles in the last few weeks. In April, he won an overwhelming 17-point victory over the far-right opposition veteran Marine Le Pen, securing his second five-year term as President of France. Then, on June 19, his coalition of parties suffered a historic defeat in the parliamentary elections. His block needed 289 seats for a majority of parliament. His ensemble with only 245 seats! The alliance did not approach.
This is the first time since 1988 that the winner has not been given a majority seat in the French elections. Even so, Francois Mitterrand's socialists were close enough that his government could consolidate support for important legislation from a small number of opposition lawmakers on a case-by-case basis. That path would be much harder to convince Macron, who has more lawmakers. Don't worry that detailed negotiations and compromises were never a strong proceeding for the president who didn't have to trade many horses during his political life.
In short, Macron was elected to the top, but voters haven't given enough agents to obey him. France is now entering an era of political uncertainty.
Macron does more than just face fierce opposition from both the left and right in Congress. Even opposition blocks can fall apart. The largest opposition alliance is from left, gathered by political firefighter Jean-Luc Melenchon who wants to maintain this loose group of 131-seat greens, socialists, communists, etc. during the campaign. Consists of strange political companions. June — As part of a stable voting block. But the interests of these parties look too diverse for it.
Macron is expected to look for limited support from the Conservative Republican Party (LR), which holds 64 seats in Congress. However, LR also has a department. The party has enough centrists to share Macron's views on tax cuts and state spending to support his reform agenda. However, a significant proportion of LR lawmakers are now even more inclined to nationalist rights, and many of this faction are eager to oppose Macron's EU support and business reform ideas. Christian Jacob, LR's acting leader, has ruled out plans to join the ensemble. In a formal coalition. Instead, he promises "constructive opposition." LR will choose a new leader this fall. The far right of Le Pen, EU. New leaders could lead the party further to the right to avoid losing more members and voters in the hostile National Rally. The French government is not completely paralyzed. In times of financial difficulty, many will support new spending to help voters survive economic storms by expanding state subsidies to keep electricity and fuel prices down. .. And while the left and right sides express hostility to sanctions against Russia and military support for Ukraine, there is enough between the centrists and the Greens to continue to support Macron's plans. I have an agent.
However, it is nearly impossible to pass a long-term reform agenda aimed at making France more economically competitive. Macron can only hope that months of fierce political struggle will exhaust French voters, dissolve Congress and call for new elections by next spring. But for now, it's hard to imagine what will change in the coming months to tilt more voters to strengthen Macron's hand.
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