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How to Bet an NFL Passyard Leader in the Futures Market

2022-23 The NFL season begins in just over two months.

For bettors, this shows the resurgence of the most popular sport and the many opportunities to monetize some tickets. But for now, the focus is on the excess of available futures markets. There are plenty of options for those who want to bet, such as category winners, prizes, and conference champions.

After releasing his retirement, Buccaneers' Tom Brady (+800) is one of the three favorite NFL leaders in the transit yard, alongside Chiefs Patrick Mahomes and Chargers Justin Herbert. .. The Rams' Matthew Stafford (+850) and Bengals' Joe Burrow (10/1) conclude the top five oddsboards.

But which quarterback is worth playing. Here are my two best bets for this award. 

Justin Herbert #10 of the Los Angeles Chargers warms up
Getty Images

Justin Herbert (+800)

Herbert is second only to Brady in last year's rankings and is ready for the next highyard season.

The Oregon product ended in 47 trials, just 300 yards behind Brady. It's the season after Herbert finished sixth in the market, one game less than most quarterbacks in front of him.

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Combining Herbert's credibility with the fact that the Chargers don't have a top-notch running game, he should have plenty of chances to win a yard. In addition, Herbert recorded an average of 39 trials per game in both the 2020 and 2021 regular seasons. In the still active quarterback, he was ranked 1st and 2nd in the 2020 and 2021 season attempts / games, respectively.

However, there is another factor that deserves consideration. It's a combination of quality and defense issues in the Chargers sector. Last season, Los Angeles was ranked 26th in DVOA per football outsider. Last season, the Chargers were still in unfortunate 20th place.

Derek Carr
Getty Images

Even if they are newly added to the defense of Los Angeles, I will tell them Plays a lot of high-scoring matches against AFC West rivals Denver, Kansas City and Las Vegas. These three teams also have top-notch quarterbacks and explosive attacks. Adding teams ranked 20th, 21st and 23rd respectively in the Pass Defense gives us even more confidence in Herbert's chance to lead the NFL in the Passyard.

Derek Carr (12/1)

We stay in the same department, but we are trekking from Los Angeles to Las Vegas for 3¹ / 2 hours.

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The driving force behind this bet is the Raiders' addition of Davante Adams from Green Bay. By doing that, I think Las Vegas is informing the league that it will be a pass-first team.

There are many things I like about cars without adding Adams. Last season, he was ranked 5th in the regular season passyard, 4th in the complete, and 2nd in the complete rate (among players with over 400 completes).

In addition, the Raiders will play 10 of the 17 games of the season against teams ranked in the lower half of last season's Pass Defense DVOA, according to Football Outsiders. As mentioned earlier, six of these games belong to the defense division that Cars are familiar with.

As a result, I think the 12/1 Carr is worth some, especially for the true No. 1 receiver of the season.