MLB Betting An expert provides his best betting picks and predictions for Thursday's game between the New York Mets and the Atlanta Braves, set to start at 7:20 p.m. E.T.
His 9-7 win Wednesday night gave the New York Mets much-needed breathing room in a race against the Atlanta Braves. I was. The win puts the Mets in first place in his NL East, 4.5 games ahead of the Braves, with Jacob deGrom standing on the mound at his Park in the series finale Thursday night. So there is an opportunity to extend it even further.
Most nights, when deGrom dominates the hills, he does so as a key favorite. Not so in this contest, though, as the Mets currently sit as the -126 favorite against Max Freed and the Braves.
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Mets vs. Braves odds
Odds provided by Caesars Sportsbook
Spread: NYM -1.5 (+140) vs. ATL +1.5 (-165)
Moneyline: NYM (-135) vs. ATL (+115)
Total: Over 7 (+100) | Under 7 (-120)
Mets vs. Braves Prediction
The fact that the game is essentially a coin toss speaks to how good Fried is for the Braves this season. The 28-year-old has a 2.60 ERA, a 1.08 WHIP, and a .235 batting average in 138.1 innings in 2022.
The approach is slightly different. He doesn't stack a crazy number of punch-outs, but instead relies on his ability to hit his spot and unbalance hitters to induce weak contacts and ground balls. Ranked 3rd in hard hits.Percentage.
Jacob has an enviable job keeping up with his deGrom, but Freed's numbers and his ability to keep base passes clear give him as good a chance as any other pitcher.
As for deGrom, he has done incredibly well in three starts this season. His two-time Cy Young Award winner posted a 1.62 ERA and a 0.42 WHIP, and has struck out 50% of his batters against in his 16.2 innings thus far.
The Braves had modest success as he scored two runs in his 5.2 innings against deGrom, but those scores were his one-hit and 34 runs. The 19-year-old had 12 strikeouts in just one game. 19 hitters.
Betting on sports?
full of children. This showdown. Freed and deGrom are the best pitching matchup you can get in MLB, and in such an important game, bettors expect him to be a tough one between the two aces. According to Action Network market data, he's under 80% of his total bets on this game and is currently at 7 (-108) with FanDuel.
The reason bettors are reluctant to keep it simple and flock to the under is that these bullpens have been busy over the past two nights. A contest, no matter how well he throws. Rather than worrying about the
bullpen, it might make more sense to isolate the starting pitching matchup and bring F5 his underside back to his 3.5.
Mets vs. Braves MLB Picks Today
Bets: F5 Under 3.5 (-114, FanDuel)
