The New York Mets sit quite a bit behind the best record in theNational Leagueand the third best run, but they are on Friday. Miami Marlins at night. Fish, four games behind the .500 behind the Mets 11.5 games behind the NL East, is currently sitting at -135 in the LoanDepot Park series opener.
Marlins is a starting pitcher on Friday and has a clear advantage, perhaps as you can guess from the betting line. Miami starter Sandy Alcantara will check in as a +250 favorite on Friday night and win the National League Cy Young Award. Mets turns to Taijuan Walker.
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Walker was on the mound this season and was pretty effective when he achieved 2.88 ERA in 59.1 innings, but veteran right-handed people have some minor danger signs. .. Walker's xFIP (3.95) surpasses a higher run than his ERA, and his hitting profile suggests that he has benefited from considerable luck this season. Walkers are ranked 14th percentile in hard hit rate, 25th percentile in average exit speed, and 50th percentile in barrel percentage. His opponent got good wood for Walker, but he was still successful.
Alcantara's 3.46xFIP is also a much higher ERA than 1.72. The difference between the Marlins Ace and Walker is that the difference between the two metrics is in the way Alcantara induces weak contact. Although the number of batters per inning is small, Alcantara has dominated the lineup thanks to its ability to avoid squares. The 26-year-old right-handed player ranks 87th percentile in average exit speed and 86th percentile in hard hit rate, boasting the sixth best ground ball percentage with at least 50 innings pitchers this season. In addition, National League pitchers do not do as good a job as Alcantara, who allows 0.36 home runs per nine innings, to keep the ball in the yard.
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Pitching matches clearly show Alcantara and separate these two violations so much against right-handed pitching I haven't, so my favorite fish on Friday night.
Pick: Miami Marlins-135
Odds were kindly provided byBetMGM.
