J. T. Poston has established himself at the British Open with a wire-to-wire victory at John Deere Classic.
This week's golf schedule has two events on the calendar, the Barbasol Championship at Keen Race Golf Club and the Scottish Open at the Renaissance Club.
With a very strong field, we will focus on the Scottish Open, which is widely regarded as an excellent tune-up event for the Open Championship. In Scotland, Scottie Scheffler and Jon Rahm (+1100) have arrived as a consensus co-favorite, with Justin Thomas (+1200) closely following the odds board. The top five oddsboards will be closed by US Open Champion Matt Fitzpatrick and Travelers Championship winner Xander Schauffele (+1800).
But before jumping into a bet, start with a statistical modeling strategy for the event as usual. Now let's take a closer look at the main stats without any further hassle.
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Scottish Open Betting Statistics and Predictions
Key Statistics # 1-Driving Distance (12% emphasized)
As with most Lynx style setups, The Renaissance club is quite large. Therefore, accuracy is less important compared to other weeks.
As a result, players bombing the ball from the tee have a great advantage, especially considering that this truck has four par 5s in addition to the driveable par 4.
In addition, the correlation with the finish position of the mileage is much stronger than the accuracy. datagolf. According to com, the finish position correlation with the former is 80%, while the latter is only 50%. It's also worth noting that last year's Scottish Open winner Min Woolley was ranked second in this category.
The top five players in the last 12 rounds of mileage are:
- Jon Rahm (+1100)
- Min Woolley (+12000)
- Dean Bermester (+19000)
- Column Talen (+30000)
- Wyndham Clark ( +28000)
Key Statistics # 2 &# 3 – Stroke Acquisition: Approach (20% emphasis), GIR acquired (10% emphasis)
Correlation Statistics – Stroke -Acquisition: Around the green (7% emphasis)
On the other hand, hitting the fairway with the Renaissance club () should prove to be relatively easy, hitting the green is much more It offers a big challenge.
Tom Douk's design features dramatic undulations and burned surfaces in the hills within the green, which requires ultra-precision irons. In addition, like most link setups, the green on this course has a run-off area that will challenge players up and down if they miss the putting surface.
In addition, the bunker provides the player with an additional layer of resistance, forcing an additional layer of accuracy on both the tee-off and the approach.
The SG leaders are: Approaches and GIRs earned in the last 12 rounds:
Strokes: Approach
- Antoine Rosner (+16000)
- Xander Schauffele (+) 1800)
- Cameron Smith (+2800)
- Hideki Matsuyama (+3400)
- Sam Burns (+3100)
Obtained GIR
- Sam Burns (+3100)
- Corey Conners (+5500)
- Xander Schauffele (+1800)
- Adria Arnaus (+16000)
- Jon Rahm (+1100)
Key Stat # 4 – Birdies Or Better Gained (15% emphasis)
Correlation Statistics – Three-Put Avoidance (5% Emphasis), Putting – 5-10ft (5% Emphasis, Putting – 10-15ft (5 Percent Emphasis))
Historically, The event tended to produce a birdie with a lot of points, with pars from 11 under to 22 under.
In most cases this is the result of t. He is the fact that for the past three years there has been little wind resistance to keep players away from the game. If that changes, bettors may see a much lower win score than in the last few years at the Renaissance Club.
Either way, the course still has a birdie chance, so players who get a scoring chance on the field should succeed here. As mentioned earlier, this track has four par 5s, and although long, players have seen a high percentage of scores in recent years.
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But besides the birdies you get, there are some putting metrics that are worth including. The green tends to be slower than the frequent PGA Tour tracks, but I'm using 3 putt avoidance based on the complexity with the green mentioned above.
Finally, as is standard on most models, we want to take into account players who are strong putters from close range, so we include the last two greenside metrics.
However, the following birdie and above leaders have won in the last 12 rounds:
- Xander Schauffele (+1800)
- Matt Fitzpatrick (+1800)
- Patrick Cantlay (+2400)
- Sam Burns (+3100)
- Scottie Scheffler (+1100) )
Key Statistics # 5 &# 6 – Stroke Acquisition: Par 5 (12% emphasis), Stroke gain: Par 4 – 450-500 yards (9% emphasis)
So far, I've only worked on 1 ton, but I've scored a par 5 at the Renaissance Club. It is not possible to emphasize how important is.
Last year, three playoff participants (Lee, Thomas Detri, and Fitzpatrick) played these four holes together in a week up to -27. Only these four holes represent half of the player's final score for the week.
A year ago, playoff participants Aaron Rye and Tommy Fleetwood joined and shot -22 in 72 holes. Their par 5 outputs are combined at -13. Therefore, players can easily reach the winner's circle by simply performing above average on holes 3, 7, 10, and 16.
However, the nine par 4s on this course give important implications to long players. advantage. Of those nine holes, five are between 450 and 500 yards and six measure at least 440 yards.
Therefore, players who have performed historically well in these types of holes need to bring an additional advantage to the Renaissance club.
SG: Par 5 and SG: Par 4 leaders are: – 450-500 yards in the last 12 rounds:
Stroke acquisition: Par 5
- Patrick Cantlay (+2400)
- Brian Harman (+6500)
- Scottie Scheffler (+1100)
- Mito Pereira (+6500)
- Joaquin Niemann (+) 4000)
Stroke acquisition: Par 4 – 450-500 yards
- Aaron Rye (+6500)
- Cameron Young (+6000)
- Justin Thomas (+1200)
- Will Zaratris (+2800)
- Son James (+4000)
