International Fight Week. MMA bets are as fruitful and reliable as you'll see on the internet.
Last week we finish one of the best weeks of the year. Since March, UFC's straight bets have been up to 17-7 per year (I'm very proud of this record), and backers are making a total profit of 31.64 units. We are welcoming a special guest today.
MMA fans areSherdog. I know him from comand others know him from various social media and podcasts. Luca Fury has long been considered one of the best MMA betting minds in the field. This fight card is so deep that we need additional feedback.
Now you can see the clip selected from the video interview below. This year is overwhelming. Let's continue
If you're a Luca fan, feel free to follow Patreon and Spotify'spodcasts and content.
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UFC276 Prediction
Israel Adesanya vs Jared Cannonier
Two videos are highly strategic to explain the technical differences between the two. Gain insights. Fighter. Middleweight champion Israel Adesanya is in his physical prime, but Jared Cannonier is 37 years old in his first title fight
Cannonier was fighting in the heavyweight division, He is still sized and is at a disadvantage to Adesanya. If Cannonier was showing some serious offensive wrestling chops, it would be of great help to the challenger's potential flyers.
Unfortunately, none of these things apply. Cannonier's only way to victory seems to be to land his close-up heavy shots. Adesanya's length, speed and technical benefits are all demonstrated. This is a nightmare place for Cannonier. Save long shot underdog bets for another time.
UFC276 Pick
Israel Adesanya by KO / TKO +360 (FanDuel)
Luca: -550 is too high, passed in rounds 2, 3 and 4.
Next is Alex Pereira vs Israel Adesanya.
A brief analysis of some middleweight dominated by Adesanya. He fought Alex Pereira as a kickboxer. Pereira coldly knocked out Adesanya in one of those battles, and he even mocked him afterwards. Rivalry can lead to very interesting contests in the future.
Alexander Volkanovski vs. Max Holloway
Featherweight Champion,Alexander Volkanovski sat down with Post Scott Fontananto discuss the trilogy battle with Max Holloway. It is highly recommended that he read it before betting on the battle to help examine the minds of the 2-0 champion.
Here we really got to the heart of it. To be fair, Luka was a little more bullish on Max Holloway than I was in this trilogy battle. But his point shook me quite a bit.
Having seen the third battle, going to the -200 / + 150 battle, the very close, essentially the salient point of the coin toss battle seems ridiculous. In the worst case, it's fair to have Volkanovski as a favorite of the -130, but not much higher.
When steam becomes a favorite, the value keeps creeping towards the Hollowway. Hollowway has size and significant advantages in this match. The worry that Volkanovski will wrestle with the challenger is justified. However, removing Holloway early can be very difficult.
Overall, Fury is correct in that this fight is a dog or pass situation. See Part 1 and Part 2 below for more information on the battle. For now, Parley Builder is in this fight to go to Holloway's decision and flyer with a moneyline as high as +168 at the time of writing.
UFC276 Pick
Battle Goes Away-225 (BetMGM)
Luka: Max Holloway Moneyline +168 — (FanDuel), fight away (-225)
Sean O'Malley vs. Pedro Munhos
Suga's show is back this weekend with the biggest test of his career. Veteran Pedro Munhos challenges the noisy "Suga" Sean O'Malley, a knockout artist.
Fury is almost correct in the popular O'Malley rating (video below). Perhaps O'Malley will not compete for future titles in this loaded bantamweight division featuring Umar Nurmagomedov, Petr Yan and Cory Sandhagen.
However, O'Malley is a deserving favorite and impressive striker for this weekend. As a favorite of Consensus-300, O'Malley should not be anyone's monetary bet. Instead, look at the first round and see what happens.
If Munoz is landing a clean leg kick, he is free to fire to veterans at +200 odds and above. He has never finished his UFC career, so O'Malley needs to show some impressive power to do an unprecedented knockout Munoz.
UFC 276 Pick
Follow Live Betting Strategy in Round 1
UFC 276 Parley (+844)
Stickland / Pereira Moves Distance Put +146 + Jalin Turner ML (-148), Barbarena ML (-110), Adesanya ML (-500)
