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Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates (CNN)The United States and Iran are indirect and then further escalated. Negotiations to restore the 2015 nuclear deal, which may be heading for the summer, ended without any progress last week.
The European Union-mediated talks in Doha, Qatar were the latest hopes for both sides to reach an agreement amid heightened tensions over Iran's nuclear program.
Since the negotiations ended without any progress, what is the likelihood of future escalations and what will happen?
Does the lack of progress in Doha mean that the transaction is dead?
What will happen next?
Iranians may decide to postpone trading until the next US [2024 presidential election] without compromising leverage. However, Iranians have to hold their own presidential election in 2025 and wait for the outcome of the election. At that point, the transaction becomes invalid and the parties have to negotiate a new transaction from the beginning, which can take several years.
What was the status of the negotiations since March and what triggered the bilateral meeting in Doha?
Over the past few weeks, European Union chief negotiator Enrique Mora has exchanged messages between Tehran and Washington to find a mutually acceptable formula. However, long-distance diplomacy is slow and has proven ineffective.
Both sides had an incentive to return to the negotiating table due to growing concerns about Iran's nuclear program in the West and Israel, and Iran's deteriorating economic conditions under sanctions. The EU has concluded that it is much more efficient to facilitate close negotiations with both parties in the same city rather than on two different continents.
The fact that the latest negotiations took place in the country of the Persian Gulf is important.
This is important for two reasons. The first shows how the situation in the region has changed compared to when the nuclear deal was closed in 2015. Second, with the exception of Oman, the other Gulf countries were less enthusiastic. They mainly saw it as enriching and empowering local rivals. Most Gulf countries now understand the value of escalating transactions, as they have now overcome the Trump administration's "maximum pressure" policy on Iran and placed them on the line of fire between Iran and the United States.
What geopolitical factors have changed since the last indirect negotiations between the United States and Iran in March?
This interview has been edited for length and clarity.
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Notable points
See the full report here.
79%
Turkey's annual inflation rate was 78.62, the highest in 24 years in June due to the effects of the Ukrainian War. Soared to%. Soaring commodity prices and slipping lira since the crisis in December.
Area area
10 million countries are now trying to change that. This weekend, Dubai, a business and entertainment hub, has tightened its rules on the use of plastic bags by introducing a tariff of 25 Phils ($ 0.07) on all disposable bags.
Only a month after Abu Dhabi, the capital of the country where the Dubai movement is coming, introduced a ban on all disposable plastic bags, it was banned for the first time in the Middle East. Unlike Dubai, Abu Dhabi did not give incentives to the public through tariffs, but banned them altogether.
The Emirate has given retailers a four-month grace period to comply with the rules.
"That's a good thing, Europe and the United States are doing the same thing," Faiz, an employee of a Dubai supermarket, told CNN.
Dubai tariffs apply to all disposable bags with a thickness of 57 micrometers or less.
Posted by GhaziNasser