(CNN)My name is Harry Enten. I'm addicted to the weather forecast.
But I'm a big payer Not. Daily attention to climate change.
This split makes sense. But as we're discussing in the podcast, we can't separate them as much as we used to.
Still, there are many misconceptions about weather forecasts that so many people are interested in.
Covers much of what's included in podcast predictions (and therefore adjust), but one of the major misunderstandings is how accurate they are. People like to offend meteorologists who make the mistake, but after all, the predictions are better than they ever were. It is more accurate than
.
As John Homenuk of New York Metro Weather told me, "I have an amazing heart working on creating these meteorological models. They are in great detail. I am an individual. I will continue to mention that we can predict thunderstorms .. (An) The incredible technology boom has helped us a lot. "
Easy to know that the forecast has improved. One way is to look at the hurricanes to see how these stormy nautical miles have reduced their error rates. The prediction error ratefor
Increased accuracy has saved countless lives.
In other words, your local meteorologist has really improved thanks to a better understanding of weather models and patterns.
However, you probably won't achieve full accuracy.
Another potential problem is climate change. Climate and weather are different, but the former can affect short-term prediction accuracy.
They found a "pretty systematic relationship" between changes in temperature and distances that could accurately predict weather. Sheshadri said that "when the earth is very cool" we can make more accurate long range weather forecasts. As the Earth warms, "it's the other way around, and this window of accurate weather forecasts gets narrower."
According to a Stanford University study, for every 3 degrees Celsius (5.4 degrees Fahrenheit) rise, one day of accurate precipitation predictions is lost.
The conclusion is as follows. Those who like weather forecasts but don't discuss climate change need to understand the implications of climate change. Due to climate change, weather forecasts may not be very accurate.