Thursday night, AstrosYankees6 in 9 times After taking a -3 lead. The Yankees left fielder Aaron Hicks closed the match with a three-run home run before Aaron Judge sent everyone home in a walk-off single.
It was an amazing performance for the Astros Bullpen, which has the fewest saves in the majors (3).
Houston tries to bounce off Ace Justin Verlander on the mound on Friday. When Luis Severino nods, the Yankees oppose his right-handed.
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New York has a historic run of 15 consecutive victories at home. However, if there was a place to degenerate the Yankees, it might make sense to do it when they deviate from such euphoric victory heights.
Watch the match and evaluate if the Astros are worth the contrarian.
Astros vs. Yankees MLB odds
oddsBetMGM
Spread: NYM + 1.5 ( -190) vs. HOU-1.5 (+155)
Money Line: NYM (+110) vs. HOU (-130)
Total: 7.5 or higher (-105) | less than 7.5 (-115)
Astros vs. Yankees Expected Pitcher
Justin Barlander (2.30) vs. Lewis Spreado (3.27)
No The question that the Yankees are weeping after winning 52 of the 70 games this season. To explain the situation, it is the third best mark in 70 major games since 1930. Still, for some reason, the Yankees (+475) are chasing the Dodgers (+400) as a favorite to win the World Series title.
Perhaps the Yankees are unlikely to be able to maintain this pace. Even their Pythagoras expectations show a slight return from the current winning percentage (.743), so I agree with that reasoning.
Therefore, playing against Verlander on Friday is a great place to consider the decline of the Yankees.
Verlander participated in the game 8-3, starting 13 times with an ERA of 2.30 and a WHIP of 0.89. His advanced statistics show some regression given 3.40FIP and 3.41xFIP, but these numbers are still considered above average.
As for Severino, he started 12 times with 4-1 and ERA 3.27 and WHIP 1.06. His advanced numbers are also in line with his traditional ERA, proven by 3.72FIP and 3.23xFIP.
Moreover, neither pitcher has shown much decline. Using their predicted numbers, I looked at their batter vs. pitcher split against the opposing team.
With 197 at-bats against Verlander, the New York lineup includes .174BA and .245wOBA. In contrast, the Houston lineup has .268BA and .308wOBA in 89 appearances against Severino.
Even if Houston melts down on Thursday, I think he has the best bullpen in baseball. Currently, he has the fewest save data (4) and leads the major with a 2.68 bullpen ERA. As a result, I like its value as a short vulnerable person in this contest.
It's also worth noting that the Astros were 3-1 at Verlander's start with the Yankees, including three consecutive victories.
Learn more about sports betting in New York
In addition, after hitting a lead of two or more runs in the ninth inning, we looked at Houston's losing numbers. The SpoDevs.com databaseshows only two instances and the Astros are 2-0 at this location.
One of those games was even against the Yankees, including Verlander as a starter. This can be a precursor to what you see on Friday night.
Astros vs. Yankees Best Bet
Astros Money Line (+110) — BetMGM
