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Yankees vs. Astros Prediction, Odds: Verlander-Severino Showdown Pick

Without the Yankees, the Astros would be the talk of this year'sAmerican League.

After a thrilling walk-off single by Aaron Judge to complete the Yankees' return to the Astros last night, the two will meet again tonight for the second game of the four-game series. 

It's worth a lot to bet on this match of playoff candidates with a pair of ace ready to move the rubber of each club on their toes. Let's dive.

Less than 7.5 runs (-110 BetMGM)

Justin Verlander and Luis Severino are on the hill tonight, so I don't think there are tons Please score. Verlander finished his worst outing of the year and gave up four earned runs and nine hits in just 3.2 innings with the White Sox last week, but was otherwise dominant this season. 

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Verlander is 8th in Major League Baseball with ERA 2.30 and 4th with WHIP 0.89. In addition to the mix, Houston has a very sloping O / U record to check in at 23-42-4 this season. The Yankees, the best baseball team, also boast an O / U record that leans down at 32-36-2.

Yes, I know the Yankees are the best team in baseball and are moving at a historic pace, but I haven't yet expected an aggressive explosion in Bronx tonight. 

Jordan Alvarez 0.5 home run or more (+265 FanDuel)

Jordan Alvarez is very good at hitting baseball over long distances. He lags behind only Aaron Judge with 22 baseball home runs and is in the midst of a true breakout season at the age of 25.

Yordan Alvarez home run.
Getty Images

Alvarez finished with a batting average of .277 last year. So far, in the 2022 season, he raised it to .317 and achieved 1.071 OPS, during which time he had a 15.7% chance of hitting. He has the third hard-hit ball in the league (exit speed above 95 MPH) and is tied to Giancarlo Stanton at 96.1 MPH with the highest average exit speed for baseball. 

Alvarez can be scooped up and Severino will play a juicy match for him. 

Severino was strong against right-handed bats this year, maintaining a batting average of .191 and hitting four home runs with 160 batters. However, against left-handers, Severino surrendered an average of .235 (still strong, but notlike) and faced six home runs with 108 batters. 

Since the beginning of June, Alvarez has been completely crazy on the plate. In the meantime, his average exit speed is 97.8MPH, reaching .439 at 1.407 OPS, strikeout rate is only 10.3%, and wRC + is an astonishing 294. Without him, he would be the front runner of ALMVP for now. For the judge, and it's worth seeing him go to the yard in front of him in the batter-friendly right field at Yankee Stadium.

I want to bet on MLB.

Yankees-1.5 (+155 BetMGM)

I don't expect a lot of runs, but I hope the Yankees will win this year.

With a solid 52-18 record, there are many reasons to be devoted to the Yankees. However, the odds are a bit volatile. The odds maker likes the Yankees at -130 odds, but the chances of winning with more than one run are set to +155. Basically, they're telling you that this is a tight and evenly matched game and Edge expects to go to New York. I disagree with that, but having to win two runs at home doesn't seem to be a big deal at all. 

The Yankees boast a home record of 30-7 and have won all 10 home games in the past. At home this season, the run difference in New York is +86.0. The second on the list is the Yankees, who are 27 runs behind. 

If you can make positive money with the best home record and the best home run difference to score 2 runs more than other guys to support the best baseball team , I'm doing it.